Elena Rybakina's Australian Open triumph over Aryna Sabalenka in late January—her second Grand Slam title after Wimbledon 2022—has positioned her as the slim contender at 2.5% implied probability, reflecting traders' recognition of her hard-court prowess and grass-court pedigree amid a fragmented WTA field. However, the 97.4% consensus on "None" underscores the calendar Grand Slam's extreme rarity, absent since Steffi Graf in 1988, demanding flawless mastery across hard (Australian Open, US Open), clay (Roland Garros), and grass (Wimbledon) surfaces. Rybakina's best French Open result remains a quarterfinal, while clay specialists like Iga Świątek loom large; sustained health, peak clay form, and avoiding upsets in the remaining majors could challenge this dominance, though historical precedents and injury risks heavily favor no completer.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$1,565,902 Vol.
$1,565,902 Vol.
Nessuno
97%
Elena Rybakina
3%
$1,565,902 Vol.
$1,565,902 Vol.
Nessuno
97%
Elena Rybakina
3%
This market resolves to the single woman player who wins the Women's Singles titles at all four Grand Slam tournaments in 2026. The relevant 2026 Grand Slams are the Women's Singles tournaments in the 2026 Australian Open, French Open, U.S. Open, and Wimbledon.
For the purpose of this market, a tournament victory is valid regardless of whether the final was won via a walkover, a mid-match retirement, or a standard completed match.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to achieve a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026 (e.g. Sabalenka does not win the 2026 Australian Open) this market will resolve immediately to "No".
If at any point it becomes impossible for any listed player to achieve a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026 (e.g. Sabalenka wins the 2026 Australian Open but loses in the first round of 2026 French Open) this market will resolve immediately to "None".
Otherwise, this market will resolve when the results of the final 2026 Grand Slam are official.
If any of the 2026 Grand Slam Women' Singles Tournaments are cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “None”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the organizers of the Grand Slam tournaments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Jan 6, 2026, 7:09 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market resolves to the single woman player who wins the Women's Singles titles at all four Grand Slam tournaments in 2026. The relevant 2026 Grand Slams are the Women's Singles tournaments in the 2026 Australian Open, French Open, U.S. Open, and Wimbledon.
For the purpose of this market, a tournament victory is valid regardless of whether the final was won via a walkover, a mid-match retirement, or a standard completed match.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to achieve a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026 (e.g. Sabalenka does not win the 2026 Australian Open) this market will resolve immediately to "No".
If at any point it becomes impossible for any listed player to achieve a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026 (e.g. Sabalenka wins the 2026 Australian Open but loses in the first round of 2026 French Open) this market will resolve immediately to "None".
Otherwise, this market will resolve when the results of the final 2026 Grand Slam are official.
If any of the 2026 Grand Slam Women' Singles Tournaments are cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “None”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the organizers of the Grand Slam tournaments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Elena Rybakina's Australian Open triumph over Aryna Sabalenka in late January—her second Grand Slam title after Wimbledon 2022—has positioned her as the slim contender at 2.5% implied probability, reflecting traders' recognition of her hard-court prowess and grass-court pedigree amid a fragmented WTA field. However, the 97.4% consensus on "None" underscores the calendar Grand Slam's extreme rarity, absent since Steffi Graf in 1988, demanding flawless mastery across hard (Australian Open, US Open), clay (Roland Garros), and grass (Wimbledon) surfaces. Rybakina's best French Open result remains a quarterfinal, while clay specialists like Iga Świątek loom large; sustained health, peak clay form, and avoiding upsets in the remaining majors could challenge this dominance, though historical precedents and injury risks heavily favor no completer.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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