Trader consensus heavily favors no relocation of 2026 FIFA World Cup games from Mexico at 97.1% implied probability for "No," driven by FIFA's repeated affirmations of the fixed schedule across Mexico City, Guadalajara, and Monterrey venues following February's cartel violence concerns in Jalisco near Estadio Akron. Estadio Azteca renovations completed successfully, enabling the June 11 opener, while massive 100,000-strong security deployments tested effectively in recent qualifiers. FIFA's April rejection of Iran's bid to shift its U.S. group-stage matches to Mexico underscores logistical rigidity just two months pre-tournament. Realistic shifts could stem from unforeseen cartel escalations or final venue inspection failures, though none indicate imminent risk.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoSì
$120,691 Vol.
$120,691 Vol.
10 giu 2026
Sì
$120,691 Vol.
$120,691 Vol.
10 giu 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that any 2026 FIFA World Cup match originally scheduled to be held in Mexico will be relocated to a location outside of Mexico by June 10, 2026, 11:59 ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying announcement will immediately resolve the market to "Yes" regardless of whether the relocation is later revoked.
The resolution source will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus heavily favors no relocation of 2026 FIFA World Cup games from Mexico at 97.1% implied probability for "No," driven by FIFA's repeated affirmations of the fixed schedule across Mexico City, Guadalajara, and Monterrey venues following February's cartel violence concerns in Jalisco near Estadio Akron. Estadio Azteca renovations completed successfully, enabling the June 11 opener, while massive 100,000-strong security deployments tested effectively in recent qualifiers. FIFA's April rejection of Iran's bid to shift its U.S. group-stage matches to Mexico underscores logistical rigidity just two months pre-tournament. Realistic shifts could stem from unforeseen cartel escalations or final venue inspection failures, though none indicate imminent risk.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that any 2026 FIFA World Cup match originally scheduled to be held in Mexico will be relocated to a location outside of Mexico by June 10, 2026, 11:59 ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying announcement will immediately resolve the market to "Yes" regardless of whether the relocation is later revoked.
The resolution source will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying announcement will immediately resolve the market to "Yes" regardless of whether the relocation is later revoked.
The resolution source will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Feb 22, 2026, 7:39 PM ET
Volume
$120,691Data di fine
10 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Feb 22, 2026, 7:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that any 2026 FIFA World Cup match originally scheduled to be held in Mexico will be relocated to a location outside of Mexico by June 10, 2026, 11:59 ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying announcement will immediately resolve the market to "Yes" regardless of whether the relocation is later revoked.
The resolution source will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus heavily favors no relocation of 2026 FIFA World Cup games from Mexico at 97.1% implied probability for "No," driven by FIFA's repeated affirmations of the fixed schedule across Mexico City, Guadalajara, and Monterrey venues following February's cartel violence concerns in Jalisco near Estadio Akron. Estadio Azteca renovations completed successfully, enabling the June 11 opener, while massive 100,000-strong security deployments tested effectively in recent qualifiers. FIFA's April rejection of Iran's bid to shift its U.S. group-stage matches to Mexico underscores logistical rigidity just two months pre-tournament. Realistic shifts could stem from unforeseen cartel escalations or final venue inspection failures, though none indicate imminent risk.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that any 2026 FIFA World Cup match originally scheduled to be held in Mexico will be relocated to a location outside of Mexico by June 10, 2026, 11:59 ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying announcement will immediately resolve the market to "Yes" regardless of whether the relocation is later revoked.
The resolution source will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying announcement will immediately resolve the market to "Yes" regardless of whether the relocation is later revoked.
The resolution source will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$120,691Data di fine
10 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Feb 22, 2026, 7:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus heavily favors no relocation of 2026 FIFA World Cup games from Mexico at 97.1% implied probability for "No," driven by FIFA's repeated affirmations of the fixed schedule across Mexico City, Guadalajara, and Monterrey venues following February's cartel violence concerns in Jalisco near Estadio Akron. Estadio Azteca renovations completed successfully, enabling the June 11 opener, while massive 100,000-strong security deployments tested effectively in recent qualifiers. FIFA's April rejection of Iran's bid to shift its U.S. group-stage matches to Mexico underscores logistical rigidity just two months pre-tournament. Realistic shifts could stem from unforeseen cartel escalations or final venue inspection failures, though none indicate imminent risk.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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