U.S. retail gasoline prices, which averaged near $3.40–$3.60 per gallon in recent weeks, remain anchored to global crude benchmarks around $75–$85 per barrel amid ongoing Middle East supply risks tied to Iran-related disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz. The EIA’s August Short-Term Energy Outlook lowered its 2026 Henry Hub and product price forecasts, citing record U.S. production, softer LNG feedgas demand, and ample inventories that have kept futures contracts through September below key thresholds. Seasonal summer driving demand and refinery maintenance cycles through October provide support, while the next EIA release on September 9 and weekly inventory data represent near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities in these binary resolution markets. Geopolitical de-escalation or stronger-than-expected builds would reinforce downside pressure on prices.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoNUOVO
30 set 2026
↑ $4.50
39%
↑ $4.40
46%
↑ $4.30
48%
↑ $4.20
52%
↓ $4.00
55%
↓ $3.90
48%
↓ $3.70
39%
↓ $3.50
33%
$0.00 Vol.
↑ $4.50
$0 Vol.
39%
↑ $4.40
$0 Vol.
46%
↑ $4.30
$0 Vol.
48%
↑ $4.20
$0 Vol.
52%
↓ $4.00
$0 Vol.
55%
↓ $3.90
$0 Vol.
48%
↓ $3.70
$0 Vol.
39%
↓ $3.50
$0 Vol.
33%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and September 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and September 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".U.S. retail gasoline prices, which averaged near $3.40–$3.60 per gallon in recent weeks, remain anchored to global crude benchmarks around $75–$85 per barrel amid ongoing Middle East supply risks tied to Iran-related disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz. The EIA’s August Short-Term Energy Outlook lowered its 2026 Henry Hub and product price forecasts, citing record U.S. production, softer LNG feedgas demand, and ample inventories that have kept futures contracts through September below key thresholds. Seasonal summer driving demand and refinery maintenance cycles through October provide support, while the next EIA release on September 9 and weekly inventory data represent near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities in these binary resolution markets. Geopolitical de-escalation or stronger-than-expected builds would reinforce downside pressure on prices.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and September 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Mercato aperto: Aug 26, 2026, 5:47 PM ET
Volume
$0Data di fine
30 set 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 26, 2026, 5:47 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://gasprices.aaa.com/Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and September 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and September 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".U.S. retail gasoline prices, which averaged near $3.40–$3.60 per gallon in recent weeks, remain anchored to global crude benchmarks around $75–$85 per barrel amid ongoing Middle East supply risks tied to Iran-related disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz. The EIA’s August Short-Term Energy Outlook lowered its 2026 Henry Hub and product price forecasts, citing record U.S. production, softer LNG feedgas demand, and ample inventories that have kept futures contracts through September below key thresholds. Seasonal summer driving demand and refinery maintenance cycles through October provide support, while the next EIA release on September 9 and weekly inventory data represent near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities in these binary resolution markets. Geopolitical de-escalation or stronger-than-expected builds would reinforce downside pressure on prices.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and September 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Volume
$0Data di fine
30 set 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 26, 2026, 5:47 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://gasprices.aaa.com/Resolver
0x65070BE91...U.S. retail gasoline prices, which averaged near $3.40–$3.60 per gallon in recent weeks, remain anchored to global crude benchmarks around $75–$85 per barrel amid ongoing Middle East supply risks tied to Iran-related disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz. The EIA’s August Short-Term Energy Outlook lowered its 2026 Henry Hub and product price forecasts, citing record U.S. production, softer LNG feedgas demand, and ample inventories that have kept futures contracts through September below key thresholds. Seasonal summer driving demand and refinery maintenance cycles through October provide support, while the next EIA release on September 9 and weekly inventory data represent near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities in these binary resolution markets. Geopolitical de-escalation or stronger-than-expected builds would reinforce downside pressure on prices.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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