Trader consensus on Polymarket prices "No" at 70% implied probability for Tesla opening Robovan orders before 2027, driven by the absence of any official pre-order announcements over 18 months since its October 2024 unveiling as a fully autonomous, high-capacity van concept at the We, Robot event. Recent developments prioritize Cybercab robotaxi production, with reports of a potential April 2026 ramp at new factories amid Tesla's shift away from human-driven models, leaving Robovan as a lower-priority extension dependent on unsupervised Full Self-Driving (FSD) regulatory approvals in Texas and California. Historical delays in Tesla's autonomous timelines, including FSD milestones, reinforce skepticism, though Q2 earnings and robotaxi pilot launches could catalyze shifts if Robovan timelines surface.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoTesla aprirà gli ordini per il Robovan prima del 2027?
Tesla aprirà gli ordini per il Robovan prima del 2027?
Sì
$31,134 Vol.
$31,134 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Sì
$31,134 Vol.
$31,134 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tesla publicly opens either preorders or full customer orders for any van-like autonomous electric vehicle on or before December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any such vehicle, regardless of product name, will qualify as long as either preorders or full customer orders are publicly open in at least one region.
Free signup or waitlist systems that do not constitute a public preorder or full customer order will not qualify.
The qualifying vehicle must represent a distinct product line; larger or modified variants of other Tesla models, such as robotaxi configurations with expanded seating, will not count.
Announcements that either preorders or full customer orders will open in the future do not qualify on their own; the preordering or ordering window must actually open within this market's timeframe to count.
This market's resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices "No" at 70% implied probability for Tesla opening Robovan orders before 2027, driven by the absence of any official pre-order announcements over 18 months since its October 2024 unveiling as a fully autonomous, high-capacity van concept at the We, Robot event. Recent developments prioritize Cybercab robotaxi production, with reports of a potential April 2026 ramp at new factories amid Tesla's shift away from human-driven models, leaving Robovan as a lower-priority extension dependent on unsupervised Full Self-Driving (FSD) regulatory approvals in Texas and California. Historical delays in Tesla's autonomous timelines, including FSD milestones, reinforce skepticism, though Q2 earnings and robotaxi pilot launches could catalyze shifts if Robovan timelines surface.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tesla publicly opens either preorders or full customer orders for any van-like autonomous electric vehicle on or before December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any such vehicle, regardless of product name, will qualify as long as either preorders or full customer orders are publicly open in at least one region.
Free signup or waitlist systems that do not constitute a public preorder or full customer order will not qualify.
The qualifying vehicle must represent a distinct product line; larger or modified variants of other Tesla models, such as robotaxi configurations with expanded seating, will not count.
Announcements that either preorders or full customer orders will open in the future do not qualify on their own; the preordering or ordering window must actually open within this market's timeframe to count.
This market's resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Any such vehicle, regardless of product name, will qualify as long as either preorders or full customer orders are publicly open in at least one region.
Free signup or waitlist systems that do not constitute a public preorder or full customer order will not qualify.
The qualifying vehicle must represent a distinct product line; larger or modified variants of other Tesla models, such as robotaxi configurations with expanded seating, will not count.
Announcements that either preorders or full customer orders will open in the future do not qualify on their own; the preordering or ordering window must actually open within this market's timeframe to count.
This market's resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercato aperto: Dec 3, 2025, 6:50 PM ET
Volume
$31,134Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 3, 2025, 6:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tesla publicly opens either preorders or full customer orders for any van-like autonomous electric vehicle on or before December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any such vehicle, regardless of product name, will qualify as long as either preorders or full customer orders are publicly open in at least one region.
Free signup or waitlist systems that do not constitute a public preorder or full customer order will not qualify.
The qualifying vehicle must represent a distinct product line; larger or modified variants of other Tesla models, such as robotaxi configurations with expanded seating, will not count.
Announcements that either preorders or full customer orders will open in the future do not qualify on their own; the preordering or ordering window must actually open within this market's timeframe to count.
This market's resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices "No" at 70% implied probability for Tesla opening Robovan orders before 2027, driven by the absence of any official pre-order announcements over 18 months since its October 2024 unveiling as a fully autonomous, high-capacity van concept at the We, Robot event. Recent developments prioritize Cybercab robotaxi production, with reports of a potential April 2026 ramp at new factories amid Tesla's shift away from human-driven models, leaving Robovan as a lower-priority extension dependent on unsupervised Full Self-Driving (FSD) regulatory approvals in Texas and California. Historical delays in Tesla's autonomous timelines, including FSD milestones, reinforce skepticism, though Q2 earnings and robotaxi pilot launches could catalyze shifts if Robovan timelines surface.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tesla publicly opens either preorders or full customer orders for any van-like autonomous electric vehicle on or before December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any such vehicle, regardless of product name, will qualify as long as either preorders or full customer orders are publicly open in at least one region.
Free signup or waitlist systems that do not constitute a public preorder or full customer order will not qualify.
The qualifying vehicle must represent a distinct product line; larger or modified variants of other Tesla models, such as robotaxi configurations with expanded seating, will not count.
Announcements that either preorders or full customer orders will open in the future do not qualify on their own; the preordering or ordering window must actually open within this market's timeframe to count.
This market's resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Any such vehicle, regardless of product name, will qualify as long as either preorders or full customer orders are publicly open in at least one region.
Free signup or waitlist systems that do not constitute a public preorder or full customer order will not qualify.
The qualifying vehicle must represent a distinct product line; larger or modified variants of other Tesla models, such as robotaxi configurations with expanded seating, will not count.
Announcements that either preorders or full customer orders will open in the future do not qualify on their own; the preordering or ordering window must actually open within this market's timeframe to count.
This market's resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$31,134Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 3, 2025, 6:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices "No" at 70% implied probability for Tesla opening Robovan orders before 2027, driven by the absence of any official pre-order announcements over 18 months since its October 2024 unveiling as a fully autonomous, high-capacity van concept at the We, Robot event. Recent developments prioritize Cybercab robotaxi production, with reports of a potential April 2026 ramp at new factories amid Tesla's shift away from human-driven models, leaving Robovan as a lower-priority extension dependent on unsupervised Full Self-Driving (FSD) regulatory approvals in Texas and California. Historical delays in Tesla's autonomous timelines, including FSD milestones, reinforce skepticism, though Q2 earnings and robotaxi pilot launches could catalyze shifts if Robovan timelines surface.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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