Trader consensus prices a U.S. invasion of Colombia in 2026 at just 7%, driven by de-escalation after early-year rhetorical tensions. President Trump's January threats of military action—citing President Petro's handling of drug trafficking and Venezuela ties—prompted Colombia to bolster border defenses and recall its ambassador, but no U.S. troop deployments or airstrikes followed. A February White House summit thawed bilateral relations, with both leaders prioritizing counternarcotics cooperation and Petro requesting U.S. aid against traffickers. No verifiable escalatory developments have occurred in the past 30 days amid Colombia's status as a major non-NATO ally. Late-breaking regional crises, such as Venezuelan spillover, could still shift odds.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoSì
$25,125 Vol.
$25,125 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Sì
$25,125 Vol.
$25,125 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Colombian land territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Colombia or the United States, as of market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus prices a U.S. invasion of Colombia in 2026 at just 7%, driven by de-escalation after early-year rhetorical tensions. President Trump's January threats of military action—citing President Petro's handling of drug trafficking and Venezuela ties—prompted Colombia to bolster border defenses and recall its ambassador, but no U.S. troop deployments or airstrikes followed. A February White House summit thawed bilateral relations, with both leaders prioritizing counternarcotics cooperation and Petro requesting U.S. aid against traffickers. No verifiable escalatory developments have occurred in the past 30 days amid Colombia's status as a major non-NATO ally. Late-breaking regional crises, such as Venezuelan spillover, could still shift odds.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Colombian land territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Colombia or the United States, as of market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Colombia or the United States, as of market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercato aperto: Jan 5, 2026, 5:16 PM ET
Volume
$25,125Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 5, 2026, 5:16 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Colombian land territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Colombia or the United States, as of market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus prices a U.S. invasion of Colombia in 2026 at just 7%, driven by de-escalation after early-year rhetorical tensions. President Trump's January threats of military action—citing President Petro's handling of drug trafficking and Venezuela ties—prompted Colombia to bolster border defenses and recall its ambassador, but no U.S. troop deployments or airstrikes followed. A February White House summit thawed bilateral relations, with both leaders prioritizing counternarcotics cooperation and Petro requesting U.S. aid against traffickers. No verifiable escalatory developments have occurred in the past 30 days amid Colombia's status as a major non-NATO ally. Late-breaking regional crises, such as Venezuelan spillover, could still shift odds.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Colombian land territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Colombia or the United States, as of market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Colombia or the United States, as of market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$25,125Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 5, 2026, 5:16 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices a U.S. invasion of Colombia in 2026 at just 7%, driven by de-escalation after early-year rhetorical tensions. President Trump's January threats of military action—citing President Petro's handling of drug trafficking and Venezuela ties—prompted Colombia to bolster border defenses and recall its ambassador, but no U.S. troop deployments or airstrikes followed. A February White House summit thawed bilateral relations, with both leaders prioritizing counternarcotics cooperation and Petro requesting U.S. aid against traffickers. No verifiable escalatory developments have occurred in the past 30 days amid Colombia's status as a major non-NATO ally. Late-breaking regional crises, such as Venezuelan spillover, could still shift odds.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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