Spain's status as European champions with a deep, technically gifted squad featuring Lamine Yamal, Rodri, and Pedri underpins the 77.5% implied probability, reflecting consistent recent qualifying dominance and possession-oriented play that has translated well in major tournaments. Uruguay sits second at 18.5% due to its proven World Cup pedigree, physical style, and veteran core, though mixed recent results have tempered expectations against stronger European sides. Saudi Arabia and Cape Verde trail at 2.6% and 1.4%, respectively, limited by lower FIFA rankings, thinner attacking options, and historical challenges against elite opposition, with no late roster shifts altering the consensus heading into the June group stage.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoSpagna 78%
Uruguay 19%
Arabia Saudita 2.6%
Capo Verde 1.4%
$202,838 Vol.
$202,838 Vol.
Spagna
78%
Uruguay
19%
Arabia Saudita
3%
Capo Verde
1%
Spagna 78%
Uruguay 19%
Arabia Saudita 2.6%
Capo Verde 1.4%
$202,838 Vol.
$202,838 Vol.
Spagna
78%
Uruguay
19%
Arabia Saudita
3%
Capo Verde
1%
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Dec 5, 2025, 7:01 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Spain's status as European champions with a deep, technically gifted squad featuring Lamine Yamal, Rodri, and Pedri underpins the 77.5% implied probability, reflecting consistent recent qualifying dominance and possession-oriented play that has translated well in major tournaments. Uruguay sits second at 18.5% due to its proven World Cup pedigree, physical style, and veteran core, though mixed recent results have tempered expectations against stronger European sides. Saudi Arabia and Cape Verde trail at 2.6% and 1.4%, respectively, limited by lower FIFA rankings, thinner attacking options, and historical challenges against elite opposition, with no late roster shifts altering the consensus heading into the June group stage.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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