Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a near-dead heat for the Bank of Korea's July interest rate decision, with no-change at 46.5% implied probability slightly ahead of a 25 basis point increase at 45%, while a decrease trails at 14%. The April 10 unanimous hold at 2.50%—marking the seventh straight pause—reinforces a neutral stance amid March CPI ticking up to 2.2% year-over-year, exceeding prior months but undershooting forecasts, alongside persistent weak won pressures and housing market risks favoring hikes. Solid semiconductor export growth supports 2026 GDP projections near 2%, balancing cut aversion. Swing factors ahead include May policy guidance, April CPI, and Q1 GDP data, poised to clarify if inflation trajectory demands action.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日No Change 47%
Increase 44%
Decrease 16%
$10,069 Vol.
$10,069 Vol.
Decrease
16%
No Change
47%
Increase
44%
No Change 47%
Increase 44%
Decrease 16%
$10,069 Vol.
$10,069 Vol.
Decrease
16%
No Change
47%
Increase
44%
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Korea after its July 16, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Korea meeting schedule: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Korea's policy statement for their July 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the base rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
マーケット開始日: Apr 13, 2026, 6:17 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Korea after its July 16, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Korea meeting schedule: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Korea's policy statement for their July 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the base rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a near-dead heat for the Bank of Korea's July interest rate decision, with no-change at 46.5% implied probability slightly ahead of a 25 basis point increase at 45%, while a decrease trails at 14%. The April 10 unanimous hold at 2.50%—marking the seventh straight pause—reinforces a neutral stance amid March CPI ticking up to 2.2% year-over-year, exceeding prior months but undershooting forecasts, alongside persistent weak won pressures and housing market risks favoring hikes. Solid semiconductor export growth supports 2026 GDP projections near 2%, balancing cut aversion. Swing factors ahead include May policy guidance, April CPI, and Q1 GDP data, poised to clarify if inflation trajectory demands action.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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