Apple has shifted its iPhone release cadence, skipping the base iPhone 18 at its September 9, 2026 event in favor of the iPhone 18 Pro, Pro Max, and foldable iPhone Duo. Supply chain reports and analysts attribute the change to component constraints and a strategy that prioritizes premium models during peak fall demand while deferring lower-priced variants. The standard iPhone 18, alongside the iPhone 18e and iPhone Air 2, is now slated for a spring 2027 launch window, likely March, extending the prior model’s shelf life. This split approach could influence trader views on resolution timing for any “released by” thresholds tied to calendar quarters or fiscal periods.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
2027/03/31
2027年2月28日
17%
2027年3月31日
76%
2027年4月30日
80%
$392 Vol.
2027年2月28日
$186 Vol.
17%
2027年3月31日
$143 Vol.
76%
2027年4月30日
$63 Vol.
80%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases the base iPhone 18 by 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The base iPhone 18 means the standard model of Apple's iPhone 18 generation, marketed by Apple as "iPhone 18" with no further designation. The iPhone 18 Pro, iPhone 18 Pro Max, iPhone 18e, iPhone Air 2, the foldable iPhone, and any phone released under any other name will not qualify, regardless of when it is released.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase and delivery or pickup by the general public in the United States within the specified timeframe. An announcement, unveiling, or pre-order period alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Apple has shifted its iPhone release cadence, skipping the base iPhone 18 at its September 9, 2026 event in favor of the iPhone 18 Pro, Pro Max, and foldable iPhone Duo. Supply chain reports and analysts attribute the change to component constraints and a strategy that prioritizes premium models during peak fall demand while deferring lower-priced variants. The standard iPhone 18, alongside the iPhone 18e and iPhone Air 2, is now slated for a spring 2027 launch window, likely March, extending the prior model’s shelf life. This split approach could influence trader views on resolution timing for any “released by” thresholds tied to calendar quarters or fiscal periods.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases the base iPhone 18 by 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The base iPhone 18 means the standard model of Apple's iPhone 18 generation, marketed by Apple as "iPhone 18" with no further designation. The iPhone 18 Pro, iPhone 18 Pro Max, iPhone 18e, iPhone Air 2, the foldable iPhone, and any phone released under any other name will not qualify, regardless of when it is released.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase and delivery or pickup by the general public in the United States within the specified timeframe. An announcement, unveiling, or pre-order period alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The base iPhone 18 means the standard model of Apple's iPhone 18 generation, marketed by Apple as "iPhone 18" with no further designation. The iPhone 18 Pro, iPhone 18 Pro Max, iPhone 18e, iPhone Air 2, the foldable iPhone, and any phone released under any other name will not qualify, regardless of when it is released.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase and delivery or pickup by the general public in the United States within the specified timeframe. An announcement, unveiling, or pre-order period alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Sep 18, 2026, 5:52 PM ET
音量
$392終了日
2027/05/01マーケット開始日
Sep 18, 2026, 5:52 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases the base iPhone 18 by 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The base iPhone 18 means the standard model of Apple's iPhone 18 generation, marketed by Apple as "iPhone 18" with no further designation. The iPhone 18 Pro, iPhone 18 Pro Max, iPhone 18e, iPhone Air 2, the foldable iPhone, and any phone released under any other name will not qualify, regardless of when it is released.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase and delivery or pickup by the general public in the United States within the specified timeframe. An announcement, unveiling, or pre-order period alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Apple has shifted its iPhone release cadence, skipping the base iPhone 18 at its September 9, 2026 event in favor of the iPhone 18 Pro, Pro Max, and foldable iPhone Duo. Supply chain reports and analysts attribute the change to component constraints and a strategy that prioritizes premium models during peak fall demand while deferring lower-priced variants. The standard iPhone 18, alongside the iPhone 18e and iPhone Air 2, is now slated for a spring 2027 launch window, likely March, extending the prior model’s shelf life. This split approach could influence trader views on resolution timing for any “released by” thresholds tied to calendar quarters or fiscal periods.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases the base iPhone 18 by 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The base iPhone 18 means the standard model of Apple's iPhone 18 generation, marketed by Apple as "iPhone 18" with no further designation. The iPhone 18 Pro, iPhone 18 Pro Max, iPhone 18e, iPhone Air 2, the foldable iPhone, and any phone released under any other name will not qualify, regardless of when it is released.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase and delivery or pickup by the general public in the United States within the specified timeframe. An announcement, unveiling, or pre-order period alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The base iPhone 18 means the standard model of Apple's iPhone 18 generation, marketed by Apple as "iPhone 18" with no further designation. The iPhone 18 Pro, iPhone 18 Pro Max, iPhone 18e, iPhone Air 2, the foldable iPhone, and any phone released under any other name will not qualify, regardless of when it is released.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase and delivery or pickup by the general public in the United States within the specified timeframe. An announcement, unveiling, or pre-order period alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$392終了日
2027/05/01マーケット開始日
Sep 18, 2026, 5:52 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...Apple has shifted its iPhone release cadence, skipping the base iPhone 18 at its September 9, 2026 event in favor of the iPhone 18 Pro, Pro Max, and foldable iPhone Duo. Supply chain reports and analysts attribute the change to component constraints and a strategy that prioritizes premium models during peak fall demand while deferring lower-priced variants. The standard iPhone 18, alongside the iPhone 18e and iPhone Air 2, is now slated for a spring 2027 launch window, likely March, extending the prior model’s shelf life. This split approach could influence trader views on resolution timing for any “released by” thresholds tied to calendar quarters or fiscal periods.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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