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icon for CO -08民主党予備選挙優勝者

CO -08民主党予備選挙優勝者

icon for CO -08民主党予備選挙優勝者

CO -08民主党予備選挙優勝者

マニー・ルティネル 91%

シャノン・バード 9%

ジョン・セムラー <1%

デイブ・ヤング <1%

Polymarket

$32,080 Vol.

マニー・ルティネル 91%

シャノン・バード 9%

ジョン・セムラー <1%

デイブ・ヤング <1%

Polymarket

$32,080 Vol.

マニー・ルティネル

$16,841 Vol.

91%

シャノン・バード

$6,180 Vol.

9%

ジョン・セムラー

$2,315 Vol.

<1%

デイブ・ヤング

$1,986 Vol.

<1%

ヤディラ・カラヴェオ

$1,256 Vol.

<1%

アミー・バカ=オーラート

$3,502 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 30, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.**Manny Rutinel holds a clear lead in trader consensus for the June 30 Democratic primary in Colorado’s 8th Congressional District, reflecting his stronger fundraising totals, recent union and Hispanic Caucus endorsements, and positioning as the more progressive option in a race that has consolidated around two main candidates.** Former state representative Shannon Bird remains competitive through agricultural and rural PAC support plus her record of legislative effectiveness, though she trails in overall resources and national backing. Other entrants, including former U.S. Representative Yadira Caraveo and Amie Baca-Oehlert, have withdrawn or endorsed Rutinel, narrowing the contest. A June 9 debate and ongoing door-knocking efforts have kept both candidates visible in the suburban and agricultural portions of the district. The market’s pricing aligns with the late-stage dynamics of a closely watched primary where endorsements and spending patterns have shifted momentum toward Rutinel in the final weeks before voters decide.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 30, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
音量
$32,080
終了日
2026/06/30
マーケット開始日
Nov 25, 2025, 4:12 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 30, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 30, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.**Manny Rutinel holds a clear lead in trader consensus for the June 30 Democratic primary in Colorado’s 8th Congressional District, reflecting his stronger fundraising totals, recent union and Hispanic Caucus endorsements, and positioning as the more progressive option in a race that has consolidated around two main candidates.** Former state representative Shannon Bird remains competitive through agricultural and rural PAC support plus her record of legislative effectiveness, though she trails in overall resources and national backing. Other entrants, including former U.S. Representative Yadira Caraveo and Amie Baca-Oehlert, have withdrawn or endorsed Rutinel, narrowing the contest. A June 9 debate and ongoing door-knocking efforts have kept both candidates visible in the suburban and agricultural portions of the district. The market’s pricing aligns with the late-stage dynamics of a closely watched primary where endorsements and spending patterns have shifted momentum toward Rutinel in the final weeks before voters decide.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 30, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
音量
$32,080
終了日
2026/06/30
マーケット開始日
Nov 25, 2025, 4:12 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 30, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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よくある質問

「CO -08民主党予備選挙優勝者」はPolymarket上の6個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「マニー・ルティネル」で91%、次いで「シャノン・バード」が9%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、91¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に91%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「CO -08民主党予備選挙優勝者」は$32.1Kの総取引量を生み出しています(Nov 25, 2025のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「CO -08民主党予備選挙優勝者」で取引するには、このページに記載されている6個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「CO -08民主党予備選挙優勝者」の現在のフロントランナーは「マニー・ルティネル」で91%であり、市場がこの結果に91%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「シャノン・バード」で9%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「CO -08民主党予備選挙優勝者」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。