A September 3 outage at SpaceXAI’s Memphis compute center triggered a 3.5-hour models outage for Grok across web, X, and mobile apps, coinciding with elevated errors at Claude and ChatGPT due to shared infrastructure dependencies. xAI confirmed resolution the same day and stated corrective actions are underway, with the official status page now showing full operational uptime and no new incidents since. Traders are weighing this against xAI’s history of multiple 2026 disruptions, including earlier latency spikes and context-loss events, plus the planned September 12 rollout of Grok 4.7, which could stress capacity during scaling. The market reflects ongoing uncertainty around single-point-of-failure risks in frontier AI infrastructure despite recent remediation efforts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
2026/09/30
9月30日
27%
10月31日
50%
12月31日
53%
$0.00 Vol.
9月30日
$0 Vol.
27%
10月31日
$0 Vol.
50%
12月31日
$0 Vol.
53%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Grok (Web) experiences an incident labeled “outage” on the official xAI Grok (Web) status page between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
Only incidents listed under Grok (Web) will be considered. Incidents affecting Grok in X, Grok (iOS), Grok (Android), or similar but not Grok (Web), will not qualify.
Incidents labeled “disruption” or “info” will not qualify.
An incident’s status while it remains ongoing will not determine the market’s resolution; only incidents marked “Resolved” will be considered.
An incident which is marked "Resolved" outside this market’s timeframe will only qualify if ongoing at the end of the listed calendar date (ET), in which case the market will remain open until that incident is marked “Resolved,” and resolution of this market will be based on the incident classification displayed immediately after it is marked "Resolved."
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official xAI Grok (Web) status page at https://status.x.ai/grok-com. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until it comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".A September 3 outage at SpaceXAI’s Memphis compute center triggered a 3.5-hour models outage for Grok across web, X, and mobile apps, coinciding with elevated errors at Claude and ChatGPT due to shared infrastructure dependencies. xAI confirmed resolution the same day and stated corrective actions are underway, with the official status page now showing full operational uptime and no new incidents since. Traders are weighing this against xAI’s history of multiple 2026 disruptions, including earlier latency spikes and context-loss events, plus the planned September 12 rollout of Grok 4.7, which could stress capacity during scaling. The market reflects ongoing uncertainty around single-point-of-failure risks in frontier AI infrastructure despite recent remediation efforts.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Grok (Web) experiences an incident labeled “outage” on the official xAI Grok (Web) status page between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
Only incidents listed under Grok (Web) will be considered. Incidents affecting Grok in X, Grok (iOS), Grok (Android), or similar but not Grok (Web), will not qualify.
Incidents labeled “disruption” or “info” will not qualify.
An incident’s status while it remains ongoing will not determine the market’s resolution; only incidents marked “Resolved” will be considered.
An incident which is marked "Resolved" outside this market’s timeframe will only qualify if ongoing at the end of the listed calendar date (ET), in which case the market will remain open until that incident is marked “Resolved,” and resolution of this market will be based on the incident classification displayed immediately after it is marked "Resolved."
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official xAI Grok (Web) status page at https://status.x.ai/grok-com. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until it comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
Only incidents listed under Grok (Web) will be considered. Incidents affecting Grok in X, Grok (iOS), Grok (Android), or similar but not Grok (Web), will not qualify.
Incidents labeled “disruption” or “info” will not qualify.
An incident’s status while it remains ongoing will not determine the market’s resolution; only incidents marked “Resolved” will be considered.
An incident which is marked "Resolved" outside this market’s timeframe will only qualify if ongoing at the end of the listed calendar date (ET), in which case the market will remain open until that incident is marked “Resolved,” and resolution of this market will be based on the incident classification displayed immediately after it is marked "Resolved."
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official xAI Grok (Web) status page at https://status.x.ai/grok-com. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until it comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
マーケット開始日： Sep 8, 2026, 2:19 PM ET
音量
$0終了日
2027/01/01マーケット開始日
Sep 8, 2026, 2:19 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Grok (Web) experiences an incident labeled “outage” on the official xAI Grok (Web) status page between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
Only incidents listed under Grok (Web) will be considered. Incidents affecting Grok in X, Grok (iOS), Grok (Android), or similar but not Grok (Web), will not qualify.
Incidents labeled “disruption” or “info” will not qualify.
An incident’s status while it remains ongoing will not determine the market’s resolution; only incidents marked “Resolved” will be considered.
An incident which is marked "Resolved" outside this market’s timeframe will only qualify if ongoing at the end of the listed calendar date (ET), in which case the market will remain open until that incident is marked “Resolved,” and resolution of this market will be based on the incident classification displayed immediately after it is marked "Resolved."
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official xAI Grok (Web) status page at https://status.x.ai/grok-com. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until it comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".A September 3 outage at SpaceXAI’s Memphis compute center triggered a 3.5-hour models outage for Grok across web, X, and mobile apps, coinciding with elevated errors at Claude and ChatGPT due to shared infrastructure dependencies. xAI confirmed resolution the same day and stated corrective actions are underway, with the official status page now showing full operational uptime and no new incidents since. Traders are weighing this against xAI’s history of multiple 2026 disruptions, including earlier latency spikes and context-loss events, plus the planned September 12 rollout of Grok 4.7, which could stress capacity during scaling. The market reflects ongoing uncertainty around single-point-of-failure risks in frontier AI infrastructure despite recent remediation efforts.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Grok (Web) experiences an incident labeled “outage” on the official xAI Grok (Web) status page between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
Only incidents listed under Grok (Web) will be considered. Incidents affecting Grok in X, Grok (iOS), Grok (Android), or similar but not Grok (Web), will not qualify.
Incidents labeled “disruption” or “info” will not qualify.
An incident’s status while it remains ongoing will not determine the market’s resolution; only incidents marked “Resolved” will be considered.
An incident which is marked "Resolved" outside this market’s timeframe will only qualify if ongoing at the end of the listed calendar date (ET), in which case the market will remain open until that incident is marked “Resolved,” and resolution of this market will be based on the incident classification displayed immediately after it is marked "Resolved."
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official xAI Grok (Web) status page at https://status.x.ai/grok-com. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until it comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
Only incidents listed under Grok (Web) will be considered. Incidents affecting Grok in X, Grok (iOS), Grok (Android), or similar but not Grok (Web), will not qualify.
Incidents labeled “disruption” or “info” will not qualify.
An incident’s status while it remains ongoing will not determine the market’s resolution; only incidents marked “Resolved” will be considered.
An incident which is marked "Resolved" outside this market’s timeframe will only qualify if ongoing at the end of the listed calendar date (ET), in which case the market will remain open until that incident is marked “Resolved,” and resolution of this market will be based on the incident classification displayed immediately after it is marked "Resolved."
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official xAI Grok (Web) status page at https://status.x.ai/grok-com. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until it comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
音量
$0終了日
2027/01/01マーケット開始日
Sep 8, 2026, 2:19 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...A September 3 outage at SpaceXAI’s Memphis compute center triggered a 3.5-hour models outage for Grok across web, X, and mobile apps, coinciding with elevated errors at Claude and ChatGPT due to shared infrastructure dependencies. xAI confirmed resolution the same day and stated corrective actions are underway, with the official status page now showing full operational uptime and no new incidents since. Traders are weighing this against xAI’s history of multiple 2026 disruptions, including earlier latency spikes and context-loss events, plus the planned September 12 rollout of Grok 4.7, which could stress capacity during scaling. The market reflects ongoing uncertainty around single-point-of-failure risks in frontier AI infrastructure despite recent remediation efforts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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