Traders have converged on a 19°C high in Amsterdam on June 5 with near-certainty because multiple forecast models and real-time observations from European meteorological agencies align on this precise threshold under stable atmospheric conditions. Current temperature trends, moderate humidity levels, and prevailing wind patterns are suppressing additional warming, consistent with typical early-June climatology for the region where daily maxima rarely deviate sharply from model consensus. Official guidance shows no significant model spread or incoming warm advection that would push readings higher. Only an unanticipated microclimate shift or late revision in observational data could alter the outcome, though such developments remain highly improbable given the convergence of sources.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Amsterdam on June 5?
19°C 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$61,000 Vol.
$61,000 Vol.
11°C or below
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
Yes
20°C
No
21°C or higher
No
19°C 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$61,000 Vol.
$61,000 Vol.
11°C or below
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
Yes
20°C
No
21°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jun 3, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Traders have converged on a 19°C high in Amsterdam on June 5 with near-certainty because multiple forecast models and real-time observations from European meteorological agencies align on this precise threshold under stable atmospheric conditions. Current temperature trends, moderate humidity levels, and prevailing wind patterns are suppressing additional warming, consistent with typical early-June climatology for the region where daily maxima rarely deviate sharply from model consensus. Official guidance shows no significant model spread or incoming warm advection that would push readings higher. Only an unanticipated microclimate shift or late revision in observational data could alter the outcome, though such developments remain highly improbable given the convergence of sources.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日


外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問