Official KNMI observations at Amsterdam Airport Schiphol confirm the highest temperature on May 2, 2026, reached exactly 20°C, anchoring trader consensus at 100% implied probability for that outcome as markets near resolution. This result stems from an unstable maritime air mass over the North Sea, delivering a mix of afternoon sunshine and convective showers that capped peak warming despite early model runs from ECMWF and Harmonie forecasting 19–21°C highs. Compared to Schiphol's climatological May average of 16.5°C, the reading reflects mild spring conditions influenced by weak southerly flow ahead of a cold front. Realistic challenges are minimal but could arise from rare KNMI data reviews or instrument recalibrations, though verified synoptic measurements rarely shift post-publication.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Amsterdam on May 2?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on May 2?
20°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$54,524 Vol.
$54,524 Vol.
2026/05/02
14°C or below
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
Yes
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C or higher
No
20°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$54,524 Vol.
$54,524 Vol.
2026/05/02
14°C or below
$1,572 Vol.
No
15°C
$1,517 Vol.
No
16°C
$1,491 Vol.
No
17°C
$5,004 Vol.
No
18°C
$4,338 Vol.
No
19°C
$8,500 Vol.
No
20°C
$7,126 Vol.
Yes
21°C
$11,513 Vol.
No
22°C
$6,021 Vol.
No
23°C
$3,756 Vol.
No
24°C or higher
$3,685 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official KNMI observations at Amsterdam Airport Schiphol confirm the highest temperature on May 2, 2026, reached exactly 20°C, anchoring trader consensus at 100% implied probability for that outcome as markets near resolution. This result stems from an unstable maritime air mass over the North Sea, delivering a mix of afternoon sunshine and convective showers that capped peak warming despite early model runs from ECMWF and Harmonie forecasting 19–21°C highs. Compared to Schiphol's climatological May average of 16.5°C, the reading reflects mild spring conditions influenced by weak southerly flow ahead of a cold front. Realistic challenges are minimal but could arise from rare KNMI data reviews or instrument recalibrations, though verified synoptic measurements rarely shift post-publication.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 30, 2026, 12:21 AM ET
音量
$54,524終了日
2026/05/02マーケット開始日
Apr 30, 2026, 12:21 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official KNMI observations at Amsterdam Airport Schiphol confirm the highest temperature on May 2, 2026, reached exactly 20°C, anchoring trader consensus at 100% implied probability for that outcome as markets near resolution. This result stems from an unstable maritime air mass over the North Sea, delivering a mix of afternoon sunshine and convective showers that capped peak warming despite early model runs from ECMWF and Harmonie forecasting 19–21°C highs. Compared to Schiphol's climatological May average of 16.5°C, the reading reflects mild spring conditions influenced by weak southerly flow ahead of a cold front. Realistic challenges are minimal but could arise from rare KNMI data reviews or instrument recalibrations, though verified synoptic measurements rarely shift post-publication.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$54,524終了日
2026/05/02マーケット開始日
Apr 30, 2026, 12:21 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Official KNMI observations at Amsterdam Airport Schiphol confirm the highest temperature on May 2, 2026, reached exactly 20°C, anchoring trader consensus at 100% implied probability for that outcome as markets near resolution. This result stems from an unstable maritime air mass over the North Sea, delivering a mix of afternoon sunshine and convective showers that capped peak warming despite early model runs from ECMWF and Harmonie forecasting 19–21°C highs. Compared to Schiphol's climatological May average of 16.5°C, the reading reflects mild spring conditions influenced by weak southerly flow ahead of a cold front. Realistic challenges are minimal but could arise from rare KNMI data reviews or instrument recalibrations, though verified synoptic measurements rarely shift post-publication.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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