Trader consensus favors a peak high of 84-85°F in Atlanta on March 27 at 29% implied probability, propelled by the latest NOAA Weather Prediction Center and ECMWF ensemble forecasts indicating mid-to-upper 80s under a potent subtropical ridge axis over the Southeast. Southerly winds will advect warm, humid Gulf air, boosting temperatures above seasonal norms (historical March average ~68°F), with minimal cloud cover expected per GFS model runs. Key variables include ridge strength—eastern positioning risks 86-87°F or higher (18%) via adiabatic compression, while westward shifts could trigger convective showers, capping at 80-83°F (31% combined). Lower odds for 78°F or below reflect scant cool-front threats, though diurnal mixing and urban heat island amplify upside uncertainty in this volatile spring pattern.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Atlanta on March 27?
Highest temperature in Atlanta on March 27?
84-85°F 30%
86-87°F 20%
82-83°F 19%
80-81°F 13%
$11,680 Vol.
$11,680 Vol.
73°F or below
<1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
6%
80-81°F
13%
82-83°F
19%
84-85°F
30%
86-87°F
20%
88-89°F
11%
90-91°F
4%
92°F or higher
2%
84-85°F 30%
86-87°F 20%
82-83°F 19%
80-81°F 13%
$11,680 Vol.
$11,680 Vol.
73°F or below
<1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
6%
80-81°F
13%
82-83°F
19%
84-85°F
30%
86-87°F
20%
88-89°F
11%
90-91°F
4%
92°F or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Mar 23, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors a peak high of 84-85°F in Atlanta on March 27 at 29% implied probability, propelled by the latest NOAA Weather Prediction Center and ECMWF ensemble forecasts indicating mid-to-upper 80s under a potent subtropical ridge axis over the Southeast. Southerly winds will advect warm, humid Gulf air, boosting temperatures above seasonal norms (historical March average ~68°F), with minimal cloud cover expected per GFS model runs. Key variables include ridge strength—eastern positioning risks 86-87°F or higher (18%) via adiabatic compression, while westward shifts could trigger convective showers, capping at 80-83°F (31% combined). Lower odds for 78°F or below reflect scant cool-front threats, though diurnal mixing and urban heat island amplify upside uncertainty in this volatile spring pattern.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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