Official National Weather Service forecasts for central Texas indicate a highest temperature in the low-to-mid 90s°F for July 19, 2026, driven by typical midsummer southerly flow, abundant moisture, and partial cloud cover that limits full insolation. This aligns with the market’s leading 94-95°F bin (45.5% implied probability) and next 92-93°F outcome (26.5%), reflecting recent model consensus that has held steady over the past several days. Seasonal climatology places Austin’s July average high near 97°F, yet current steering patterns and lingering effects from an unusually wet June have produced slightly cooler guidance than long-term norms. No strong high-pressure ridge or heat-advisory conditions are expected to push readings into the upper 90s or above, keeping 96°F+ outcomes at combined probabilities below 30%. Updated NWS and NOAA model runs ahead of the date remain the key near-term catalyst for any shifts in trader positioning.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日7月19日のオースティンの最高気温は？
7月19日のオースティンの最高気温は？
94〜95°F 52%
96〜97°F 27%
92〜93°F 18%
98～99°F 2.9%
新規
$24,938 Vol.
新規
$24,938 Vol.
2026/07/19
83°F以下
<1%
84～85°F
<1%
86～87°F
<1%
88～89°F
1%
90〜91°F
1%
92〜93°F
18%
94〜95°F
52%
96〜97°F
27%
98～99°F
3%
100〜101°F
1%
102°F以上
<1%
94〜95°F 52%
96〜97°F 27%
92〜93°F 18%
98～99°F 2.9%
新規
$24,938 Vol.
新規
$24,938 Vol.
2026/07/19
83°F以下
$1,638 Vol.
<1%
84～85°F
$1,562 Vol.
<1%
86～87°F
$1,732 Vol.
<1%
88～89°F
$1,769 Vol.
1%
90〜91°F
$3,216 Vol.
1%
92〜93°F
$3,512 Vol.
18%
94〜95°F
$5,280 Vol.
52%
96〜97°F
$2,611 Vol.
27%
98～99°F
$1,652 Vol.
3%
100〜101°F
$1,108 Vol.
1%
102°F以上
$859 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service forecasts for central Texas indicate a highest temperature in the low-to-mid 90s°F for July 19, 2026, driven by typical midsummer southerly flow, abundant moisture, and partial cloud cover that limits full insolation. This aligns with the market’s leading 94-95°F bin (45.5% implied probability) and next 92-93°F outcome (26.5%), reflecting recent model consensus that has held steady over the past several days. Seasonal climatology places Austin’s July average high near 97°F, yet current steering patterns and lingering effects from an unusually wet June have produced slightly cooler guidance than long-term norms. No strong high-pressure ridge or heat-advisory conditions are expected to push readings into the upper 90s or above, keeping 96°F+ outcomes at combined probabilities below 30%. Updated NWS and NOAA model runs ahead of the date remain the key near-term catalyst for any shifts in trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Jul 17, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
音量
$24,938終了日
2026/07/19マーケット開始日
Jul 17, 2026, 9:04 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service forecasts for central Texas indicate a highest temperature in the low-to-mid 90s°F for July 19, 2026, driven by typical midsummer southerly flow, abundant moisture, and partial cloud cover that limits full insolation. This aligns with the market’s leading 94-95°F bin (45.5% implied probability) and next 92-93°F outcome (26.5%), reflecting recent model consensus that has held steady over the past several days. Seasonal climatology places Austin’s July average high near 97°F, yet current steering patterns and lingering effects from an unusually wet June have produced slightly cooler guidance than long-term norms. No strong high-pressure ridge or heat-advisory conditions are expected to push readings into the upper 90s or above, keeping 96°F+ outcomes at combined probabilities below 30%. Updated NWS and NOAA model runs ahead of the date remain the key near-term catalyst for any shifts in trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$24,938終了日
2026/07/19マーケット開始日
Jul 17, 2026, 9:04 PM ETOfficial National Weather Service forecasts for central Texas indicate a highest temperature in the low-to-mid 90s°F for July 19, 2026, driven by typical midsummer southerly flow, abundant moisture, and partial cloud cover that limits full insolation. This aligns with the market’s leading 94-95°F bin (45.5% implied probability) and next 92-93°F outcome (26.5%), reflecting recent model consensus that has held steady over the past several days. Seasonal climatology places Austin’s July average high near 97°F, yet current steering patterns and lingering effects from an unusually wet June have produced slightly cooler guidance than long-term norms. No strong high-pressure ridge or heat-advisory conditions are expected to push readings into the upper 90s or above, keeping 96°F+ outcomes at combined probabilities below 30%. Updated NWS and NOAA model runs ahead of the date remain the key near-term catalyst for any shifts in trader positioning.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問