Current forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models such as ECMWF and GFS converge on a Beijing high of 28°C for June 4, supported by persistent cloud cover, northeasterly flow, and limited daytime heating following recent regional patterns. This consensus aligns with observed temperatures in the low-to-mid 20s earlier in the week and historical early-June baselines near 25–30°C, producing the market’s near-certain 28°C outcome. Thunderstorm activity and moisture could introduce minor variability, yet model agreement through the afternoon window leaves little room for deviation outside that single degree. Updated observational data or rapid clearing could still shift the final recorded maximum before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Beijing on June 4?
Highest temperature in Beijing on June 4?
28°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$296,079 Vol.
$296,079 Vol.
2026/06/04
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
28°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$296,079 Vol.
$296,079 Vol.
2026/06/04
25°C or below
$55,004 Vol.
No
26°C
$33,009 Vol.
No
27°C
$54,581 Vol.
No
28°C
$69,837 Vol.
Yes
29°C
$36,280 Vol.
No
30°C
$21,300 Vol.
No
31°C
$11,299 Vol.
No
32°C
$7,004 Vol.
No
33°C
$4,315 Vol.
No
34°C
$1,536 Vol.
No
35°C or higher
$1,912 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models such as ECMWF and GFS converge on a Beijing high of 28°C for June 4, supported by persistent cloud cover, northeasterly flow, and limited daytime heating following recent regional patterns. This consensus aligns with observed temperatures in the low-to-mid 20s earlier in the week and historical early-June baselines near 25–30°C, producing the market’s near-certain 28°C outcome. Thunderstorm activity and moisture could introduce minor variability, yet model agreement through the afternoon window leaves little room for deviation outside that single degree. Updated observational data or rapid clearing could still shift the final recorded maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Jun 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
音量
$296,079終了日
2026/06/04マーケット開始日
Jun 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models such as ECMWF and GFS converge on a Beijing high of 28°C for June 4, supported by persistent cloud cover, northeasterly flow, and limited daytime heating following recent regional patterns. This consensus aligns with observed temperatures in the low-to-mid 20s earlier in the week and historical early-June baselines near 25–30°C, producing the market’s near-certain 28°C outcome. Thunderstorm activity and moisture could introduce minor variability, yet model agreement through the afternoon window leaves little room for deviation outside that single degree. Updated observational data or rapid clearing could still shift the final recorded maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$296,079終了日
2026/06/04マーケット開始日
Jun 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Current forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models such as ECMWF and GFS converge on a Beijing high of 28°C for June 4, supported by persistent cloud cover, northeasterly flow, and limited daytime heating following recent regional patterns. This consensus aligns with observed temperatures in the low-to-mid 20s earlier in the week and historical early-June baselines near 25–30°C, producing the market’s near-certain 28°C outcome. Thunderstorm activity and moisture could introduce minor variability, yet model agreement through the afternoon window leaves little room for deviation outside that single degree. Updated observational data or rapid clearing could still shift the final recorded maximum before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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