Latest ensemble forecasts from global models like ECMWF and GFS drive trader consensus toward a Buenos Aires high of 27°C on March 26, implying a 29% probability amid closely matched 26–28°C odds, as partial cloud cover and light southerly winds temper diurnal heating. Recent model runs show ECMWF trending cooler at ~26.5°C due to enhanced mixing in the boundary layer, while GFS edges warmer near 28°C from persistent high pressure; historical March 26 averages hover at 26°C, but urban heat island effects in Aeroparque station add ~1°C upside risk. Uncertainty persists from short-range forecast divergence, with SMN updates key before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on March 26?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on March 26?
27°C 28%
28°C 24%
26°C 20%
25°C 11%
$13,214 Vol.
$13,214 Vol.
22°C or below
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
11%
26°C
20%
27°C
28%
28°C
24%
29°C
11%
30°C
5%
31°C
2%
32°C or higher
2%
27°C 28%
28°C 24%
26°C 20%
25°C 11%
$13,214 Vol.
$13,214 Vol.
22°C or below
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
11%
26°C
20%
27°C
28%
28°C
24%
29°C
11%
30°C
5%
31°C
2%
32°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Mar 22, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from global models like ECMWF and GFS drive trader consensus toward a Buenos Aires high of 27°C on March 26, implying a 29% probability amid closely matched 26–28°C odds, as partial cloud cover and light southerly winds temper diurnal heating. Recent model runs show ECMWF trending cooler at ~26.5°C due to enhanced mixing in the boundary layer, while GFS edges warmer near 28°C from persistent high pressure; historical March 26 averages hover at 26°C, but urban heat island effects in Aeroparque station add ~1°C upside risk. Uncertainty persists from short-range forecast divergence, with SMN updates key before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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