Official readings from the Korea Meteorological Administration confirm Busan reached a daily maximum of 29°C on June 14, aligning with model consensus from recent atmospheric conditions featuring clear skies, light southerly flow, and typical early-summer warming. This strong evidence underpins the 100% market-implied probability, as real-time station data and verification protocols leave minimal room for deviation. Realistic challenges include post-hoc quality-control adjustments to raw observations or resolution based on a secondary station recording a different peak, though such revisions remain uncommon once preliminary highs are validated.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Busan on June 14?
29°C 100%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$43,809 Vol.
$43,809 Vol.
23°C or below
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
Yes
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C or higher
No
29°C 100%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$43,809 Vol.
$43,809 Vol.
23°C or below
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
Yes
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jun 12, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Official readings from the Korea Meteorological Administration confirm Busan reached a daily maximum of 29°C on June 14, aligning with model consensus from recent atmospheric conditions featuring clear skies, light southerly flow, and typical early-summer warming. This strong evidence underpins the 100% market-implied probability, as real-time station data and verification protocols leave minimal room for deviation. Realistic challenges include post-hoc quality-control adjustments to raw observations or resolution based on a secondary station recording a different peak, though such revisions remain uncommon once preliminary highs are validated.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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