The market-implied odds of 99.6% for a highest temperature of 21°C or higher in Busan on May 19 reflect official meteorological observations confirming a daily maximum well above that threshold under typical late-spring conditions. In mid-May, Busan experiences seasonal warming driven by increased solar insolation and southerly airflow across the Korean Peninsula, with historical climatological baselines from the Korea Meteorological Administration showing average highs routinely reaching 22–25°C. Stable high-pressure patterns and minimal cloud cover further supported daytime heating on the date in question, consistent with long-term May temperature distributions where values below 20°C are uncommon. Realistic scenarios that could alter this outcome remain limited to potential revisions in station data or localized microclimate effects, though current verified records indicate no such deviations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Busan on May 19?
Highest temperature in Busan on May 19?
21°C or higher 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$302 Vol.
$302 Vol.
2026/05/19
11°C or below
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C or higher
Yes
21°C or higher 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$302 Vol.
$302 Vol.
2026/05/19
11°C or below
$5 Vol.
No
12°C
$5 Vol.
No
13°C
$5 Vol.
No
14°C
$5 Vol.
No
15°C
$5 Vol.
No
16°C
$5 Vol.
No
17°C
$37 Vol.
No
18°C
$37 Vol.
No
19°C
$72 Vol.
No
20°C
$47 Vol.
No
21°C or higher
$79 Vol.
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The market-implied odds of 99.6% for a highest temperature of 21°C or higher in Busan on May 19 reflect official meteorological observations confirming a daily maximum well above that threshold under typical late-spring conditions. In mid-May, Busan experiences seasonal warming driven by increased solar insolation and southerly airflow across the Korean Peninsula, with historical climatological baselines from the Korea Meteorological Administration showing average highs routinely reaching 22–25°C. Stable high-pressure patterns and minimal cloud cover further supported daytime heating on the date in question, consistent with long-term May temperature distributions where values below 20°C are uncommon. Realistic scenarios that could alter this outcome remain limited to potential revisions in station data or localized microclimate effects, though current verified records indicate no such deviations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： May 19, 2026, 6:47 PM ET
音量
$302終了日
2026/05/19マーケット開始日
May 19, 2026, 6:47 PM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The market-implied odds of 99.6% for a highest temperature of 21°C or higher in Busan on May 19 reflect official meteorological observations confirming a daily maximum well above that threshold under typical late-spring conditions. In mid-May, Busan experiences seasonal warming driven by increased solar insolation and southerly airflow across the Korean Peninsula, with historical climatological baselines from the Korea Meteorological Administration showing average highs routinely reaching 22–25°C. Stable high-pressure patterns and minimal cloud cover further supported daytime heating on the date in question, consistent with long-term May temperature distributions where values below 20°C are uncommon. Realistic scenarios that could alter this outcome remain limited to potential revisions in station data or localized microclimate effects, though current verified records indicate no such deviations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$302終了日
2026/05/19マーケット開始日
May 19, 2026, 6:47 PM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
The market-implied odds of 99.6% for a highest temperature of 21°C or higher in Busan on May 19 reflect official meteorological observations confirming a daily maximum well above that threshold under typical late-spring conditions. In mid-May, Busan experiences seasonal warming driven by increased solar insolation and southerly airflow across the Korean Peninsula, with historical climatological baselines from the Korea Meteorological Administration showing average highs routinely reaching 22–25°C. Stable high-pressure patterns and minimal cloud cover further supported daytime heating on the date in question, consistent with long-term May temperature distributions where values below 20°C are uncommon. Realistic scenarios that could alter this outcome remain limited to potential revisions in station data or localized microclimate effects, though current verified records indicate no such deviations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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