Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in Cape Town's highest temperature on April 19, with implied probabilities clustered around 15–18°C following a strong cold front's landfall over the Western Cape on April 17, bringing rain, gusty northwest winds exceeding 40 km/h, and cooler post-frontal air masses. South African Weather Service forecasts partly cloudy skies with isolated showers persisting into the weekend, capping daytime heating under lingering cloud cover and southerly sea breezes that enhance coastal cooling. AccuWeather models align at a 17°C high amid 96% precipitation odds, but variability arises from frontal clearing speed—faster dissipation could push toward 18°C, while prolonged overcast favors 15°C or below. Fresh SAWS updates and ECMWF/GFS runs expected within 24 hours may sharpen differentiation.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Cape Town on April 19?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on April 19?
18°C 26%
15°C 22%
16°C 22%
17°C 22%
新規
新規
2026/04/19
12°C or below
2%
13°C
20%
14°C
15%
15°C
22%
16°C
22%
17°C
22%
18°C
26%
19°C
12%
20°C
9%
21°C
4%
22°C or higher
6%
18°C 26%
15°C 22%
16°C 22%
17°C 22%
新規
新規
2026/04/19
12°C or below
$40 Vol.
2%
13°C
$0 Vol.
20%
14°C
$0 Vol.
15%
15°C
$0 Vol.
22%
16°C
$0 Vol.
22%
17°C
$0 Vol.
22%
18°C
$0 Vol.
26%
19°C
$0 Vol.
12%
20°C
$0 Vol.
9%
21°C
$5 Vol.
4%
22°C or higher
$5 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in Cape Town's highest temperature on April 19, with implied probabilities clustered around 15–18°C following a strong cold front's landfall over the Western Cape on April 17, bringing rain, gusty northwest winds exceeding 40 km/h, and cooler post-frontal air masses. South African Weather Service forecasts partly cloudy skies with isolated showers persisting into the weekend, capping daytime heating under lingering cloud cover and southerly sea breezes that enhance coastal cooling. AccuWeather models align at a 17°C high amid 96% precipitation odds, but variability arises from frontal clearing speed—faster dissipation could push toward 18°C, while prolonged overcast favors 15°C or below. Fresh SAWS updates and ECMWF/GFS runs expected within 24 hours may sharpen differentiation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 17, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
音量
$50終了日
2026/04/19マーケット開始日
Apr 17, 2026, 12:18 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in Cape Town's highest temperature on April 19, with implied probabilities clustered around 15–18°C following a strong cold front's landfall over the Western Cape on April 17, bringing rain, gusty northwest winds exceeding 40 km/h, and cooler post-frontal air masses. South African Weather Service forecasts partly cloudy skies with isolated showers persisting into the weekend, capping daytime heating under lingering cloud cover and southerly sea breezes that enhance coastal cooling. AccuWeather models align at a 17°C high amid 96% precipitation odds, but variability arises from frontal clearing speed—faster dissipation could push toward 18°C, while prolonged overcast favors 15°C or below. Fresh SAWS updates and ECMWF/GFS runs expected within 24 hours may sharpen differentiation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$50終了日
2026/04/19マーケット開始日
Apr 17, 2026, 12:18 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in Cape Town's highest temperature on April 19, with implied probabilities clustered around 15–18°C following a strong cold front's landfall over the Western Cape on April 17, bringing rain, gusty northwest winds exceeding 40 km/h, and cooler post-frontal air masses. South African Weather Service forecasts partly cloudy skies with isolated showers persisting into the weekend, capping daytime heating under lingering cloud cover and southerly sea breezes that enhance coastal cooling. AccuWeather models align at a 17°C high amid 96% precipitation odds, but variability arises from frontal clearing speed—faster dissipation could push toward 18°C, while prolonged overcast favors 15°C or below. Fresh SAWS updates and ECMWF/GFS runs expected within 24 hours may sharpen differentiation.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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