Trader sentiment for Chengdu's July 1 high temperature centers on typical early-July patterns in the Sichuan basin, where average highs reach about 30°C amid high humidity and frequent convective showers. Short-term forecast guidance from sources like AccuWeather and local models points to 28–31°C as the most probable range, driven by monsoon moisture, potential afternoon thunderstorms, and variable cloud cover that can suppress peak readings. The spread across 29–32°C outcomes reflects genuine uncertainty from model differences in timing of precipitation and steering patterns, with no major heatwave or anomalous subtropical ridge currently indicated to push extremes higher. Historical July variability supports this clustered distribution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日7月1日の成都の最高気温は?
32°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$148,462 Vol.
$148,462 Vol.
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
32°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$148,462 Vol.
$148,462 Vol.
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jun 29, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Trader sentiment for Chengdu's July 1 high temperature centers on typical early-July patterns in the Sichuan basin, where average highs reach about 30°C amid high humidity and frequent convective showers. Short-term forecast guidance from sources like AccuWeather and local models points to 28–31°C as the most probable range, driven by monsoon moisture, potential afternoon thunderstorms, and variable cloud cover that can suppress peak readings. The spread across 29–32°C outcomes reflects genuine uncertainty from model differences in timing of precipitation and steering patterns, with no major heatwave or anomalous subtropical ridge currently indicated to push extremes higher. Historical July variability supports this clustered distribution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問