Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 25°C in Chengdu on May 2, 2026, driven by real-time observations from the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport weather station (ZUUU), which recorded a peak of 25°C via Wunderground data—the market's resolution source. Morning reports from the China Meteorological Administration forecasted a maximum of 23°C amid overcast skies and light showers, but intraday measurements showed slight warming, likely from transient reductions in cloud cover despite persistent low-level moisture and cool air advection. Hourly station data confirms no exceedance, aligning with seasonal norms for early May (averaging 24-26°C highs). Realistic challenges include rare post-finalization revisions to archived data or discrepancies with non-airport stations, though market rules prioritize finalized Wunderground records; next CMA daily summary expected soon will solidify resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Chengdu on May 2?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on May 2?
25°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$97,140 Vol.
$97,140 Vol.
2026/05/02
17°C or below
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C
No
27°C or higher
No
25°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$97,140 Vol.
$97,140 Vol.
2026/05/02
17°C or below
$3,670 Vol.
No
18°C
$5,985 Vol.
No
19°C
$6,086 Vol.
No
20°C
$5,338 Vol.
No
21°C
$4,960 Vol.
No
22°C
$6,122 Vol.
No
23°C
$7,453 Vol.
No
24°C
$13,281 Vol.
No
25°C
$12,648 Vol.
Yes
26°C
$18,119 Vol.
No
27°C or higher
$13,478 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 25°C in Chengdu on May 2, 2026, driven by real-time observations from the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport weather station (ZUUU), which recorded a peak of 25°C via Wunderground data—the market's resolution source. Morning reports from the China Meteorological Administration forecasted a maximum of 23°C amid overcast skies and light showers, but intraday measurements showed slight warming, likely from transient reductions in cloud cover despite persistent low-level moisture and cool air advection. Hourly station data confirms no exceedance, aligning with seasonal norms for early May (averaging 24-26°C highs). Realistic challenges include rare post-finalization revisions to archived data or discrepancies with non-airport stations, though market rules prioritize finalized Wunderground records; next CMA daily summary expected soon will solidify resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 30, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
音量
$97,140終了日
2026/05/02マーケット開始日
Apr 30, 2026, 12:09 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 25°C in Chengdu on May 2, 2026, driven by real-time observations from the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport weather station (ZUUU), which recorded a peak of 25°C via Wunderground data—the market's resolution source. Morning reports from the China Meteorological Administration forecasted a maximum of 23°C amid overcast skies and light showers, but intraday measurements showed slight warming, likely from transient reductions in cloud cover despite persistent low-level moisture and cool air advection. Hourly station data confirms no exceedance, aligning with seasonal norms for early May (averaging 24-26°C highs). Realistic challenges include rare post-finalization revisions to archived data or discrepancies with non-airport stations, though market rules prioritize finalized Wunderground records; next CMA daily summary expected soon will solidify resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$97,140終了日
2026/05/02マーケット開始日
Apr 30, 2026, 12:09 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 25°C in Chengdu on May 2, 2026, driven by real-time observations from the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport weather station (ZUUU), which recorded a peak of 25°C via Wunderground data—the market's resolution source. Morning reports from the China Meteorological Administration forecasted a maximum of 23°C amid overcast skies and light showers, but intraday measurements showed slight warming, likely from transient reductions in cloud cover despite persistent low-level moisture and cool air advection. Hourly station data confirms no exceedance, aligning with seasonal norms for early May (averaging 24-26°C highs). Realistic challenges include rare post-finalization revisions to archived data or discrepancies with non-airport stations, though market rules prioritize finalized Wunderground records; next CMA daily summary expected soon will solidify resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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