Current forecasts from meteorological models indicate a peak temperature of 33°C in Chengdu today, aligning with the market's near-certain trader consensus at that level. This positioning reflects observed atmospheric conditions, including moderate humidity and typical springtime high-pressure systems over the Sichuan Basin that limit rapid warming. Historical May averages for the region hover near 26–29°C, providing climatological context for why 34°C or higher remains improbable without an unexpected heat surge. Key variables that could alter the outcome include revisions in official reporting thresholds or localized microclimate effects near measurement stations. Updated observations later today will refine resolution criteria based on precise maximum readings.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日5月21日の成都の最高気温は？
5月21日の成都の最高気温は？
33℃ 100.0%
24℃以下 <1%
25℃ <1%
26℃ <1%
$40,309 Vol.
$40,309 Vol.
2026/05/21
24℃以下
いいえ
25℃
いいえ
26℃
いいえ
27°C
いいえ
28°C
いいえ
29℃
いいえ
30℃
いいえ
31℃
いいえ
32℃
いいえ
33℃
はい
34℃以上
いいえ
33℃ 100.0%
24℃以下 <1%
25℃ <1%
26℃ <1%
$40,309 Vol.
$40,309 Vol.
2026/05/21
24℃以下
$353 Vol.
いいえ
25℃
$650 Vol.
いいえ
26℃
$983 Vol.
いいえ
27°C
$748 Vol.
いいえ
28°C
$1,556 Vol.
いいえ
29℃
$5,162 Vol.
いいえ
30℃
$6,377 Vol.
いいえ
31℃
$2,998 Vol.
いいえ
32℃
$7,898 Vol.
いいえ
33℃
$5,885 Vol.
はい
34℃以上
$7,700 Vol.
いいえ
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from meteorological models indicate a peak temperature of 33°C in Chengdu today, aligning with the market's near-certain trader consensus at that level. This positioning reflects observed atmospheric conditions, including moderate humidity and typical springtime high-pressure systems over the Sichuan Basin that limit rapid warming. Historical May averages for the region hover near 26–29°C, providing climatological context for why 34°C or higher remains improbable without an unexpected heat surge. Key variables that could alter the outcome include revisions in official reporting thresholds or localized microclimate effects near measurement stations. Updated observations later today will refine resolution criteria based on precise maximum readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： May 19, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
音量
$40,309終了日
2026/05/21マーケット開始日
May 19, 2026, 12:07 AM ET提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from meteorological models indicate a peak temperature of 33°C in Chengdu today, aligning with the market's near-certain trader consensus at that level. This positioning reflects observed atmospheric conditions, including moderate humidity and typical springtime high-pressure systems over the Sichuan Basin that limit rapid warming. Historical May averages for the region hover near 26–29°C, providing climatological context for why 34°C or higher remains improbable without an unexpected heat surge. Key variables that could alter the outcome include revisions in official reporting thresholds or localized microclimate effects near measurement stations. Updated observations later today will refine resolution criteria based on precise maximum readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$40,309終了日
2026/05/21マーケット開始日
May 19, 2026, 12:07 AM ET提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
Current forecasts from meteorological models indicate a peak temperature of 33°C in Chengdu today, aligning with the market's near-certain trader consensus at that level. This positioning reflects observed atmospheric conditions, including moderate humidity and typical springtime high-pressure systems over the Sichuan Basin that limit rapid warming. Historical May averages for the region hover near 26–29°C, providing climatological context for why 34°C or higher remains improbable without an unexpected heat surge. Key variables that could alter the outcome include revisions in official reporting thresholds or localized microclimate effects near measurement stations. Updated observations later today will refine resolution criteria based on precise maximum readings.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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