Recent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble models project a high near 79°F for Chicago on September 7, with northeast winds off Lake Michigan moderating daytime warming and keeping lake-adjacent areas several degrees cooler. This follows early-September heat exceeding 95°F and aligns closely with the 1991–2020 daily normal of 79.3°F. Trader consensus splitting evenly between the 78–79°F and 80–81°F bins reflects minor model spread in cloud cover, wind speed, and boundary-layer mixing that could shift the peak by a degree or two. Updated NWS guidance and next model cycles will likely clarify resolution before the close.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月7日のシカゴの最高気温は?
78〜79°F 35%
76~77°F 26%
82〜83°F 23%
80〜81°F 22%
華氏71度以下
1%
72~73°F
10%
74〜75°F
10%
76~77°F
26%
78〜79°F
35%
80〜81°F
33%
82〜83°F
23%
84~85°F
7%
86〜87°F
7%
88~89°F
7%
90°F以上
7%
78〜79°F 35%
76~77°F 26%
82〜83°F 23%
80〜81°F 22%
華氏71度以下
1%
72~73°F
10%
74〜75°F
10%
76~77°F
26%
78〜79°F
35%
80〜81°F
33%
82〜83°F
23%
84~85°F
7%
86〜87°F
7%
88~89°F
7%
90°F以上
7%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 5, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble models project a high near 79°F for Chicago on September 7, with northeast winds off Lake Michigan moderating daytime warming and keeping lake-adjacent areas several degrees cooler. This follows early-September heat exceeding 95°F and aligns closely with the 1991–2020 daily normal of 79.3°F. Trader consensus splitting evenly between the 78–79°F and 80–81°F bins reflects minor model spread in cloud cover, wind speed, and boundary-layer mixing that could shift the peak by a degree or two. Updated NWS guidance and next model cycles will likely clarify resolution before the close.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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