Recent tropical cyclone Saudel and lingering northeast monsoon influences have introduced significant uncertainty into Hong Kong's September 5 maximum temperature outlook, with official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory projecting a range of 26–31°C amid scattered showers and variable cloud cover. These conditions limit daytime solar heating while model consensus on rain timing and intensity remains divided, supporting the evenly matched market-implied odds around 28–31°C. Continental airstream improvements later in the period could allow slightly higher peaks if showers diminish, though historical early-September baselines near 30–31°C provide context for the narrow spread. Updated HKO guidance and refined model runs over the next 48 hours represent key catalysts for shifts in trader positioning.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月5日の香港の最高気温は？
9月5日の香港の最高気温は？
29℃ 37%
30℃ 37%
31℃ 31%
28℃ 16%
新規
新規
2026/09/05
24℃以下
1%
25°C
2%
26℃
2%
27℃
1%
28℃
16%
29℃
37%
30℃
37%
31℃
31%
32°C
6%
33°C
5%
34℃以上
1%
29℃ 37%
30℃ 37%
31℃ 31%
28℃ 16%
新規
新規
2026/09/05
24℃以下
$0 Vol.
1%
25°C
$0 Vol.
2%
26℃
$0 Vol.
2%
27℃
$0 Vol.
1%
28℃
$0 Vol.
16%
29℃
$0 Vol.
37%
30℃
$0 Vol.
37%
31℃
$0 Vol.
31%
32°C
$0 Vol.
6%
33°C
$0 Vol.
5%
34℃以上
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent tropical cyclone Saudel and lingering northeast monsoon influences have introduced significant uncertainty into Hong Kong's September 5 maximum temperature outlook, with official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory projecting a range of 26–31°C amid scattered showers and variable cloud cover. These conditions limit daytime solar heating while model consensus on rain timing and intensity remains divided, supporting the evenly matched market-implied odds around 28–31°C. Continental airstream improvements later in the period could allow slightly higher peaks if showers diminish, though historical early-September baselines near 30–31°C provide context for the narrow spread. Updated HKO guidance and refined model runs over the next 48 hours represent key catalysts for shifts in trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Sep 3, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
音量
$0終了日
2026/09/05マーケット開始日
Sep 3, 2026, 12:56 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent tropical cyclone Saudel and lingering northeast monsoon influences have introduced significant uncertainty into Hong Kong's September 5 maximum temperature outlook, with official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory projecting a range of 26–31°C amid scattered showers and variable cloud cover. These conditions limit daytime solar heating while model consensus on rain timing and intensity remains divided, supporting the evenly matched market-implied odds around 28–31°C. Continental airstream improvements later in the period could allow slightly higher peaks if showers diminish, though historical early-September baselines near 30–31°C provide context for the narrow spread. Updated HKO guidance and refined model runs over the next 48 hours represent key catalysts for shifts in trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$0終了日
2026/09/05マーケット開始日
Sep 3, 2026, 12:56 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Recent tropical cyclone Saudel and lingering northeast monsoon influences have introduced significant uncertainty into Hong Kong's September 5 maximum temperature outlook, with official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory projecting a range of 26–31°C amid scattered showers and variable cloud cover. These conditions limit daytime solar heating while model consensus on rain timing and intensity remains divided, supporting the evenly matched market-implied odds around 28–31°C. Continental airstream improvements later in the period could allow slightly higher peaks if showers diminish, though historical early-September baselines near 30–31°C provide context for the narrow spread. Updated HKO guidance and refined model runs over the next 48 hours represent key catalysts for shifts in trader positioning.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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