Forecast models and official guidance from the Chengdu Meteorological Bureau point to a high-pressure system sustaining mostly sunny, dry conditions over the region through early September, supporting daily highs of 32–35°C on the 5th. This aligns with the typical early-month pattern under subtropical high influence before the onset of more frequent autumn rainfall later in the month. Ensemble runs show limited day-to-day variability and low precipitation probability, though small shifts in steering flow or cloud cover could trim peak values by 1–2°C. Historical September averages near 27°C provide context for the current warmth, with resolution hinging on the official maximum recorded at local stations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月5日の成都の最高気温は?
34℃ 23%
35℃ 22%
36℃ 21%
37℃ 20%
28℃以下
4%
29℃
4%
30°C
2%
31℃
3%
32℃
5%
33℃
19%
34℃
23%
35℃
22%
36℃
21%
37℃
20%
38℃以上
18%
34℃ 23%
35℃ 22%
36℃ 21%
37℃ 20%
28℃以下
4%
29℃
4%
30°C
2%
31℃
3%
32℃
5%
33℃
19%
34℃
23%
35℃
22%
36℃
21%
37℃
20%
38℃以上
18%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 3, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast models and official guidance from the Chengdu Meteorological Bureau point to a high-pressure system sustaining mostly sunny, dry conditions over the region through early September, supporting daily highs of 32–35°C on the 5th. This aligns with the typical early-month pattern under subtropical high influence before the onset of more frequent autumn rainfall later in the month. Ensemble runs show limited day-to-day variability and low precipitation probability, though small shifts in steering flow or cloud cover could trim peak values by 1–2°C. Historical September averages near 27°C provide context for the current warmth, with resolution hinging on the official maximum recorded at local stations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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