Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Shenzhen highs near 30–31°C on September 3, with partly cloudy skies, possible scattered showers, and northeasterly flow that could limit afternoon peaks through increased cloud cover or brief cooling. A developing super El Niño, with Niño 3.4 anomalies already exceeding +2°C, contributes to broader seasonal warmth across southern China but introduces variability in timing and intensity of convective activity. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 29–30°C because resolution hinges on precise maximum readings amid these marginal differences in insolation and moisture, rather than larger shifts in the underlying synoptic pattern. Updated NMC and international model runs over the next 48 hours will refine the exact threshold.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月3日の深センの最高気温は？
9月3日の深センの最高気温は？
30°C 22%
29°C 21%
28°C 15%
31°C 14%
新規
新規
2026/09/03
23°C or below
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
9%
27°C
10%
28°C
15%
29°C
21%
30°C
22%
31°C
14%
32°C
11%
33°C or higher
1%
30°C 22%
29°C 21%
28°C 15%
31°C 14%
新規
新規
2026/09/03
23°C or below
$5 Vol.
1%
24°C
$0 Vol.
1%
25°C
$45 Vol.
2%
26°C
$60 Vol.
9%
27°C
$11 Vol.
10%
28°C
$0 Vol.
15%
29°C
$0 Vol.
21%
30°C
$0 Vol.
22%
31°C
$52 Vol.
14%
32°C
$20 Vol.
11%
33°C or higher
$5 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Shenzhen highs near 30–31°C on September 3, with partly cloudy skies, possible scattered showers, and northeasterly flow that could limit afternoon peaks through increased cloud cover or brief cooling. A developing super El Niño, with Niño 3.4 anomalies already exceeding +2°C, contributes to broader seasonal warmth across southern China but introduces variability in timing and intensity of convective activity. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 29–30°C because resolution hinges on precise maximum readings amid these marginal differences in insolation and moisture, rather than larger shifts in the underlying synoptic pattern. Updated NMC and international model runs over the next 48 hours will refine the exact threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 1, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
音量
$198終了日
2026/09/03マーケット開始日
Sep 1, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Shenzhen highs near 30–31°C on September 3, with partly cloudy skies, possible scattered showers, and northeasterly flow that could limit afternoon peaks through increased cloud cover or brief cooling. A developing super El Niño, with Niño 3.4 anomalies already exceeding +2°C, contributes to broader seasonal warmth across southern China but introduces variability in timing and intensity of convective activity. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 29–30°C because resolution hinges on precise maximum readings amid these marginal differences in insolation and moisture, rather than larger shifts in the underlying synoptic pattern. Updated NMC and international model runs over the next 48 hours will refine the exact threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$198終了日
2026/09/03マーケット開始日
Sep 1, 2026, 12:57 AM ETRecent forecasts from multiple models indicate Shenzhen highs near 30–31°C on September 3, with partly cloudy skies, possible scattered showers, and northeasterly flow that could limit afternoon peaks through increased cloud cover or brief cooling. A developing super El Niño, with Niño 3.4 anomalies already exceeding +2°C, contributes to broader seasonal warmth across southern China but introduces variability in timing and intensity of convective activity. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 29–30°C because resolution hinges on precise maximum readings amid these marginal differences in insolation and moisture, rather than larger shifts in the underlying synoptic pattern. Updated NMC and international model runs over the next 48 hours will refine the exact threshold.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問