Recent high-pressure dominance over western China has sustained daytime heating near Chengdu, with official guidance projecting a September 4 high of 32–34 °C under partly cloudy skies and light winds. Model spreads arise from variable low-level moisture advection from surrounding mountains, which could enhance afternoon cloud cover and limit peak temperatures, versus clearer conditions that would allow stronger insolation and a 35 °C outcome. Recent observations of 35.6 °C on September 1 underscore the narrow margin between these scenarios, while the market’s dispersed probabilities reflect unresolved uncertainty in short-range guidance ahead of the next regional forecast update.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月4日の成都の最高気温は？
9月4日の成都の最高気温は？
34℃ 34%
33℃ 23%
35°C 18%
32℃ 11%
新規
新規
2026/09/04
27℃以下
3%
28℃
4%
29℃
4%
30℃
2%
31℃
3%
32℃
11%
33℃
23%
34℃
34%
35°C
18%
36℃
5%
37℃以上
2%
34℃ 34%
33℃ 23%
35°C 18%
32℃ 11%
新規
新規
2026/09/04
27℃以下
$0 Vol.
3%
28℃
$0 Vol.
4%
29℃
$0 Vol.
4%
30℃
$24 Vol.
2%
31℃
$30 Vol.
3%
32℃
$4 Vol.
11%
33℃
$0 Vol.
23%
34℃
$0 Vol.
34%
35°C
$40 Vol.
18%
36℃
$44 Vol.
5%
37℃以上
$100 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent high-pressure dominance over western China has sustained daytime heating near Chengdu, with official guidance projecting a September 4 high of 32–34 °C under partly cloudy skies and light winds. Model spreads arise from variable low-level moisture advection from surrounding mountains, which could enhance afternoon cloud cover and limit peak temperatures, versus clearer conditions that would allow stronger insolation and a 35 °C outcome. Recent observations of 35.6 °C on September 1 underscore the narrow margin between these scenarios, while the market’s dispersed probabilities reflect unresolved uncertainty in short-range guidance ahead of the next regional forecast update.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 2, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
音量
$243終了日
2026/09/04マーケット開始日
Sep 2, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent high-pressure dominance over western China has sustained daytime heating near Chengdu, with official guidance projecting a September 4 high of 32–34 °C under partly cloudy skies and light winds. Model spreads arise from variable low-level moisture advection from surrounding mountains, which could enhance afternoon cloud cover and limit peak temperatures, versus clearer conditions that would allow stronger insolation and a 35 °C outcome. Recent observations of 35.6 °C on September 1 underscore the narrow margin between these scenarios, while the market’s dispersed probabilities reflect unresolved uncertainty in short-range guidance ahead of the next regional forecast update.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$243終了日
2026/09/04マーケット開始日
Sep 2, 2026, 12:57 AM ETRecent high-pressure dominance over western China has sustained daytime heating near Chengdu, with official guidance projecting a September 4 high of 32–34 °C under partly cloudy skies and light winds. Model spreads arise from variable low-level moisture advection from surrounding mountains, which could enhance afternoon cloud cover and limit peak temperatures, versus clearer conditions that would allow stronger insolation and a 35 °C outcome. Recent observations of 35.6 °C on September 1 underscore the narrow margin between these scenarios, while the market’s dispersed probabilities reflect unresolved uncertainty in short-range guidance ahead of the next regional forecast update.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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