Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance points to a Friday high near 91–92 °F in Houston, with partly sunny morning conditions giving way to showers and thunderstorms by afternoon. These storms, driven by daytime heating, a moist southerly flow, and lingering moisture from Tropical Depression Edouard’s remnants, introduce the main uncertainty: earlier or heavier cloud cover and rain could suppress temperatures into the upper 80s, while delayed or lighter activity could allow readings to reach the low 90s. Trader-implied probabilities cluster tightly around 88–93 °F because small shifts in storm timing or coverage—key resolution factors—remain difficult to resolve two days out. Historical September 4 averages near 91 °F provide context but offer little guidance given the active pattern. Updated NHC and local forecast discussions expected later today could refine these odds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月4日のヒューストンの最高気温は？
9月4日のヒューストンの最高気温は？
88〜89°F 35%
90〜91°F 30%
86～87°F 25%
92～93°F 18%
新規
新規
2026/09/04
81°F以下
1%
82〜83°F
1%
84〜85°F
8%
86～87°F
25%
88〜89°F
35%
90〜91°F
30%
92～93°F
18%
94～95°F
6%
96～97°F
2%
98〜99°F
2%
華氏100度以上
2%
88〜89°F 35%
90〜91°F 30%
86～87°F 25%
92～93°F 18%
新規
新規
2026/09/04
81°F以下
$0 Vol.
1%
82〜83°F
$124 Vol.
1%
84〜85°F
$0 Vol.
8%
86～87°F
$3 Vol.
25%
88〜89°F
$44 Vol.
35%
90〜91°F
$417 Vol.
30%
92～93°F
$129 Vol.
18%
94～95°F
$0 Vol.
6%
96～97°F
$0 Vol.
2%
98〜99°F
$0 Vol.
2%
華氏100度以上
$0 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance points to a Friday high near 91–92 °F in Houston, with partly sunny morning conditions giving way to showers and thunderstorms by afternoon. These storms, driven by daytime heating, a moist southerly flow, and lingering moisture from Tropical Depression Edouard’s remnants, introduce the main uncertainty: earlier or heavier cloud cover and rain could suppress temperatures into the upper 80s, while delayed or lighter activity could allow readings to reach the low 90s. Trader-implied probabilities cluster tightly around 88–93 °F because small shifts in storm timing or coverage—key resolution factors—remain difficult to resolve two days out. Historical September 4 averages near 91 °F provide context but offer little guidance given the active pattern. Updated NHC and local forecast discussions expected later today could refine these odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 2, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
音量
$716終了日
2026/09/04マーケット開始日
Sep 2, 2026, 2:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance points to a Friday high near 91–92 °F in Houston, with partly sunny morning conditions giving way to showers and thunderstorms by afternoon. These storms, driven by daytime heating, a moist southerly flow, and lingering moisture from Tropical Depression Edouard’s remnants, introduce the main uncertainty: earlier or heavier cloud cover and rain could suppress temperatures into the upper 80s, while delayed or lighter activity could allow readings to reach the low 90s. Trader-implied probabilities cluster tightly around 88–93 °F because small shifts in storm timing or coverage—key resolution factors—remain difficult to resolve two days out. Historical September 4 averages near 91 °F provide context but offer little guidance given the active pattern. Updated NHC and local forecast discussions expected later today could refine these odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$716終了日
2026/09/04マーケット開始日
Sep 2, 2026, 2:56 AM ETRecent National Weather Service and private model guidance points to a Friday high near 91–92 °F in Houston, with partly sunny morning conditions giving way to showers and thunderstorms by afternoon. These storms, driven by daytime heating, a moist southerly flow, and lingering moisture from Tropical Depression Edouard’s remnants, introduce the main uncertainty: earlier or heavier cloud cover and rain could suppress temperatures into the upper 80s, while delayed or lighter activity could allow readings to reach the low 90s. Trader-implied probabilities cluster tightly around 88–93 °F because small shifts in storm timing or coverage—key resolution factors—remain difficult to resolve two days out. Historical September 4 averages near 91 °F provide context but offer little guidance given the active pattern. Updated NHC and local forecast discussions expected later today could refine these odds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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