Recent short-term forecasts from regional meteorological agencies indicate minimum temperatures in Chengdu near 22°C on September 4, driven by persistent influence from the subtropical high-pressure system and mostly cloudy conditions that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Scattered showers possible in western mountainous areas introduce minor variability in urban heat retention and wind patterns, while recent daily lows have hovered between 18–21°C amid transitioning late-summer patterns. This scientific uncertainty across model runs—particularly regarding exact cloud cover and localized precipitation—has produced tightly balanced market-implied odds near 49–50% for outcomes clustered around 20–28°C, reflecting trader assessment of ensemble forecast spreads rather than any single deterministic projection. Updated guidance from official monitoring agencies in the coming hours could refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月4日の成都の最低気温は？
9月4日の成都の最低気温は？
19°C以下 99%
29℃以上 98%
20℃ 88%
21℃ 88%
新規
新規
2026/09/04
19°C以下
99%
20℃
88%
21℃
88%
22°C
88%
23°C
88%
24℃
87%
25℃
88%
26℃
88%
27℃
2%
28℃
8%
29℃以上
98%
19°C以下 99%
29℃以上 98%
20℃ 88%
21℃ 88%
新規
新規
2026/09/04
19°C以下
$0 Vol.
99%
20℃
$0 Vol.
88%
21℃
$0 Vol.
88%
22°C
$0 Vol.
88%
23°C
$0 Vol.
88%
24℃
$0 Vol.
87%
25℃
$0 Vol.
88%
26℃
$0 Vol.
88%
27℃
$0 Vol.
2%
28℃
$0 Vol.
8%
29℃以上
$0 Vol.
98%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-term forecasts from regional meteorological agencies indicate minimum temperatures in Chengdu near 22°C on September 4, driven by persistent influence from the subtropical high-pressure system and mostly cloudy conditions that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Scattered showers possible in western mountainous areas introduce minor variability in urban heat retention and wind patterns, while recent daily lows have hovered between 18–21°C amid transitioning late-summer patterns. This scientific uncertainty across model runs—particularly regarding exact cloud cover and localized precipitation—has produced tightly balanced market-implied odds near 49–50% for outcomes clustered around 20–28°C, reflecting trader assessment of ensemble forecast spreads rather than any single deterministic projection. Updated guidance from official monitoring agencies in the coming hours could refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 2, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
音量
$0終了日
2026/09/04マーケット開始日
Sep 2, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-term forecasts from regional meteorological agencies indicate minimum temperatures in Chengdu near 22°C on September 4, driven by persistent influence from the subtropical high-pressure system and mostly cloudy conditions that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Scattered showers possible in western mountainous areas introduce minor variability in urban heat retention and wind patterns, while recent daily lows have hovered between 18–21°C amid transitioning late-summer patterns. This scientific uncertainty across model runs—particularly regarding exact cloud cover and localized precipitation—has produced tightly balanced market-implied odds near 49–50% for outcomes clustered around 20–28°C, reflecting trader assessment of ensemble forecast spreads rather than any single deterministic projection. Updated guidance from official monitoring agencies in the coming hours could refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$0終了日
2026/09/04マーケット開始日
Sep 2, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent short-term forecasts from regional meteorological agencies indicate minimum temperatures in Chengdu near 22°C on September 4, driven by persistent influence from the subtropical high-pressure system and mostly cloudy conditions that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Scattered showers possible in western mountainous areas introduce minor variability in urban heat retention and wind patterns, while recent daily lows have hovered between 18–21°C amid transitioning late-summer patterns. This scientific uncertainty across model runs—particularly regarding exact cloud cover and localized precipitation—has produced tightly balanced market-implied odds near 49–50% for outcomes clustered around 20–28°C, reflecting trader assessment of ensemble forecast spreads rather than any single deterministic projection. Updated guidance from official monitoring agencies in the coming hours could refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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