Recent National Weather Service forecasts for New York City on September 4 point to an overnight low in the low 70s, with Central Park guidance around 71°F amid partly cloudy conditions and light northwest winds that limit radiational cooling. Model consensus from sources like the NWS and private ensembles shows modest spread due to variable cloud cover and humidity levels, which can trap heat near the surface and push minima toward 74–75°F or hold them near 70–71°F. Historical September averages near 65°F provide context, but current steering patterns and lack of strong cold advection keep readings elevated. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to the 70–75°F range because of this narrow forecast window, while lower-probability tails reflect potential for clearer skies or minor model shifts ahead of the evening update. Upcoming NWS model runs and local observations will refine the exact minimum before market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月4日のニューヨークの最低気温は？
9月4日のニューヨークの最低気温は？
74～75°F 45%
72～73°F 30%
華氏70〜71度 21%
76～77°F 13%
新規
新規
2026/09/04
63°F以下
1%
64〜65°F
2%
66〜67°F
9%
68〜69°F
8%
華氏70〜71度
21%
72～73°F
30%
74～75°F
45%
76～77°F
13%
78～79°F
4%
80～81°F
3%
華氏82度以上
2%
74～75°F 45%
72～73°F 30%
華氏70〜71度 21%
76～77°F 13%
新規
新規
2026/09/04
63°F以下
$0 Vol.
1%
64〜65°F
$0 Vol.
2%
66〜67°F
$0 Vol.
9%
68〜69°F
$0 Vol.
8%
華氏70〜71度
$0 Vol.
21%
72～73°F
$0 Vol.
30%
74～75°F
$0 Vol.
45%
76～77°F
$6 Vol.
13%
78～79°F
$0 Vol.
4%
80～81°F
$0 Vol.
3%
華氏82度以上
$0 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts for New York City on September 4 point to an overnight low in the low 70s, with Central Park guidance around 71°F amid partly cloudy conditions and light northwest winds that limit radiational cooling. Model consensus from sources like the NWS and private ensembles shows modest spread due to variable cloud cover and humidity levels, which can trap heat near the surface and push minima toward 74–75°F or hold them near 70–71°F. Historical September averages near 65°F provide context, but current steering patterns and lack of strong cold advection keep readings elevated. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to the 70–75°F range because of this narrow forecast window, while lower-probability tails reflect potential for clearer skies or minor model shifts ahead of the evening update. Upcoming NWS model runs and local observations will refine the exact minimum before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 2, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
音量
$6終了日
2026/09/04マーケット開始日
Sep 2, 2026, 3:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts for New York City on September 4 point to an overnight low in the low 70s, with Central Park guidance around 71°F amid partly cloudy conditions and light northwest winds that limit radiational cooling. Model consensus from sources like the NWS and private ensembles shows modest spread due to variable cloud cover and humidity levels, which can trap heat near the surface and push minima toward 74–75°F or hold them near 70–71°F. Historical September averages near 65°F provide context, but current steering patterns and lack of strong cold advection keep readings elevated. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to the 70–75°F range because of this narrow forecast window, while lower-probability tails reflect potential for clearer skies or minor model shifts ahead of the evening update. Upcoming NWS model runs and local observations will refine the exact minimum before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$6終了日
2026/09/04マーケット開始日
Sep 2, 2026, 3:29 AM ETRecent National Weather Service forecasts for New York City on September 4 point to an overnight low in the low 70s, with Central Park guidance around 71°F amid partly cloudy conditions and light northwest winds that limit radiational cooling. Model consensus from sources like the NWS and private ensembles shows modest spread due to variable cloud cover and humidity levels, which can trap heat near the surface and push minima toward 74–75°F or hold them near 70–71°F. Historical September averages near 65°F provide context, but current steering patterns and lack of strong cold advection keep readings elevated. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to the 70–75°F range because of this narrow forecast window, while lower-probability tails reflect potential for clearer skies or minor model shifts ahead of the evening update. Upcoming NWS model runs and local observations will refine the exact minimum before market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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