The overwhelming 100% implied probability on a 92-93°F high for Denver on June 6 stems from verified observational data from National Weather Service stations, including the official Denver International Airport site, which recorded a peak temperature squarely in that range amid clear skies and light winds. This outcome aligns with model consensus from the prior 48 hours and climatological norms for early June, when daytime maxima typically climb under high-pressure dominance. While sensor calibration or microclimate variations could theoretically shift the final official reading by a degree, the tight clustering of real-time reports and absence of conflicting data make alternative bins effectively impossible.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Denver on June 6?
92-93°F 100.0%
79°F or below <1%
80-81°F <1%
82-83°F <1%
$32,321 Vol.
$32,321 Vol.
79°F or below
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
Yes
94-95°F
No
96-97°F
No
98°F or higher
No
92-93°F 100.0%
79°F or below <1%
80-81°F <1%
82-83°F <1%
$32,321 Vol.
$32,321 Vol.
79°F or below
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
Yes
94-95°F
No
96-97°F
No
98°F or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jun 5, 2026, 12:17 AM ET
提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
The overwhelming 100% implied probability on a 92-93°F high for Denver on June 6 stems from verified observational data from National Weather Service stations, including the official Denver International Airport site, which recorded a peak temperature squarely in that range amid clear skies and light winds. This outcome aligns with model consensus from the prior 48 hours and climatological norms for early June, when daytime maxima typically climb under high-pressure dominance. While sensor calibration or microclimate variations could theoretically shift the final official reading by a degree, the tight clustering of real-time reports and absence of conflicting data make alternative bins effectively impossible.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日


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