Trader consensus on Denver's March 27 high temperature tilts toward 54-55°F (27.5% implied probability), driven by the latest NOAA Global Forecast System (GFS) and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) ensemble runs projecting peaks of 52-55°F amid a lingering upper-level trough over the central Rockies. This cooler outlook stems from northwesterly winds advecting crisp post-frontal air, with partial cloud cover limiting insolation, as per National Weather Service point forecasts averaging 53°F. Differentiating the close 50-51°F (23.5%) and 52-53°F (23.0%) bids are model sensitivities to boundary layer mixing and exact trough axis positioning; historical March variability in Denver (±10°F norms) adds edge to traders eyeing 12Z model updates for resolution clarity.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Denver on March 27?
Highest temperature in Denver on March 27?
52-53°F 29%
54-55°F 28%
50-51°F 23%
56-57°F 12%
49°F or below
10%
50-51°F
23%
52-53°F
23%
54-55°F
28%
56-57°F
12%
58-59°F
9%
60-61°F
7%
62-63°F
6%
64-65°F
3%
66-67°F
5%
68°F or higher
2%
52-53°F 29%
54-55°F 28%
50-51°F 23%
56-57°F 12%
49°F or below
10%
50-51°F
23%
52-53°F
23%
54-55°F
28%
56-57°F
12%
58-59°F
9%
60-61°F
7%
62-63°F
6%
64-65°F
3%
66-67°F
5%
68°F or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckly Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Mar 23, 2026, 6:17 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/denver/KDENResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/denver/KDENResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Denver's March 27 high temperature tilts toward 54-55°F (27.5% implied probability), driven by the latest NOAA Global Forecast System (GFS) and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) ensemble runs projecting peaks of 52-55°F amid a lingering upper-level trough over the central Rockies. This cooler outlook stems from northwesterly winds advecting crisp post-frontal air, with partial cloud cover limiting insolation, as per National Weather Service point forecasts averaging 53°F. Differentiating the close 50-51°F (23.5%) and 52-53°F (23.0%) bids are model sensitivities to boundary layer mixing and exact trough axis positioning; historical March variability in Denver (±10°F norms) adds edge to traders eyeing 12Z model updates for resolution clarity.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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