Current forecast models for Guangzhou indicate a highest temperature on June 26 most likely between 31–33°C, with trader-implied probabilities clustered tightly around these outcomes due to expected thundery showers and light winds from the south. High humidity and monsoon-season moisture will moderate daytime maxima, while steering patterns and precipitation timing introduce model spread that could shift the peak by 1–2°C. Official guidance from regional meteorological centers highlights typical June climatology near 32°C, but recent runs show variability tied to convective activity. Updated model consensus and short-range forecasts in the next 48 hours will likely refine resolution criteria ahead of the daily high measurement.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Guangzhou on June 26?
33°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$102,584 Vol.
$102,584 Vol.
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
33°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$102,584 Vol.
$102,584 Vol.
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jun 24, 2026, 12:10 AM ET
提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Current forecast models for Guangzhou indicate a highest temperature on June 26 most likely between 31–33°C, with trader-implied probabilities clustered tightly around these outcomes due to expected thundery showers and light winds from the south. High humidity and monsoon-season moisture will moderate daytime maxima, while steering patterns and precipitation timing introduce model spread that could shift the peak by 1–2°C. Official guidance from regional meteorological centers highlights typical June climatology near 32°C, but recent runs show variability tied to convective activity. Updated model consensus and short-range forecasts in the next 48 hours will likely refine resolution criteria ahead of the daily high measurement.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日

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