Hong Kong Observatory's official measurements confirm the highest air temperature on April 19, 2026, reached precisely 30.0°C at the King's Park reference station, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome and effectively resolving the market. Mainly fine skies and light winds prevailed, with ample sunshine fostering daytime heating amid seasonal above-normal temperatures forecasted for April under a warming climate trend. This aligns with HKO's multi-model consensus prior to the event, which projected a 30°C peak. While data revisions are exceedingly rare for established observations, an extraordinary measurement error or station malfunction could theoretically prompt review, though no such issues have surfaced in preliminary reports.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 19?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 19?
30°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$321,073 Vol.
$321,073 Vol.
2026/04/19
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C or higher
No
30°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$321,073 Vol.
$321,073 Vol.
2026/04/19
21°C or below
$9,016 Vol.
No
22°C
$2,282 Vol.
No
23°C
$2,181 Vol.
No
24°C
$3,382 Vol.
No
25°C
$7,812 Vol.
No
26°C
$10,505 Vol.
No
27°C
$30,702 Vol.
No
28°C
$70,888 Vol.
No
29°C
$73,783 Vol.
No
30°C
$66,464 Vol.
Yes
31°C or higher
$44,059 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory's official measurements confirm the highest air temperature on April 19, 2026, reached precisely 30.0°C at the King's Park reference station, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome and effectively resolving the market. Mainly fine skies and light winds prevailed, with ample sunshine fostering daytime heating amid seasonal above-normal temperatures forecasted for April under a warming climate trend. This aligns with HKO's multi-model consensus prior to the event, which projected a 30°C peak. While data revisions are exceedingly rare for established observations, an extraordinary measurement error or station malfunction could theoretically prompt review, though no such issues have surfaced in preliminary reports.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 17, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
音量
$321,073終了日
2026/04/19マーケット開始日
Apr 17, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory's official measurements confirm the highest air temperature on April 19, 2026, reached precisely 30.0°C at the King's Park reference station, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome and effectively resolving the market. Mainly fine skies and light winds prevailed, with ample sunshine fostering daytime heating amid seasonal above-normal temperatures forecasted for April under a warming climate trend. This aligns with HKO's multi-model consensus prior to the event, which projected a 30°C peak. While data revisions are exceedingly rare for established observations, an extraordinary measurement error or station malfunction could theoretically prompt review, though no such issues have surfaced in preliminary reports.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$321,073終了日
2026/04/19マーケット開始日
Apr 17, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Hong Kong Observatory's official measurements confirm the highest air temperature on April 19, 2026, reached precisely 30.0°C at the King's Park reference station, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome and effectively resolving the market. Mainly fine skies and light winds prevailed, with ample sunshine fostering daytime heating amid seasonal above-normal temperatures forecasted for April under a warming climate trend. This aligns with HKO's multi-model consensus prior to the event, which projected a 30°C peak. While data revisions are exceedingly rare for established observations, an extraordinary measurement error or station malfunction could theoretically prompt review, though no such issues have surfaced in preliminary reports.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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