Official temperature records from the Hong Kong Observatory confirm a daily maximum of exactly 30°C on June 6, 2026, anchoring the market-implied odds near 100% for that outcome. Recent downpours and associated cloud cover suppressed daytime heating amid the seasonal monsoon transition, preventing the typical June peak near 31–32°C observed in climatological averages. This aligns with broader early-summer patterns where convective activity and variable steering flows moderate extremes, though minor measurement variations at urban stations or slight forecast revisions could theoretically shift resolution if thresholds were narrowly missed. Traders’ consensus reflects confidence in these verified observations over model projections.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Hong Kong on June 6?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on June 6?
30°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
31°C <1%
$278,204 Vol.
$278,204 Vol.
2026/06/06
28°C or below
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C or higher
No
30°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
31°C <1%
$278,204 Vol.
$278,204 Vol.
2026/06/06
28°C or below
$11,597 Vol.
No
29°C
$29,237 Vol.
No
30°C
$115,781 Vol.
Yes
31°C
$50,900 Vol.
No
32°C
$25,242 Vol.
No
33°C
$15,082 Vol.
No
34°C
$14,207 Vol.
No
35°C
$12,142 Vol.
No
36°C
$1,270 Vol.
No
37°C
$730 Vol.
No
38°C or higher
$2,014 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 6 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official temperature records from the Hong Kong Observatory confirm a daily maximum of exactly 30°C on June 6, 2026, anchoring the market-implied odds near 100% for that outcome. Recent downpours and associated cloud cover suppressed daytime heating amid the seasonal monsoon transition, preventing the typical June peak near 31–32°C observed in climatological averages. This aligns with broader early-summer patterns where convective activity and variable steering flows moderate extremes, though minor measurement variations at urban stations or slight forecast revisions could theoretically shift resolution if thresholds were narrowly missed. Traders’ consensus reflects confidence in these verified observations over model projections.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 6 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Jun 5, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
音量
$278,204終了日
2026/06/06マーケット開始日
Jun 5, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 6 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official temperature records from the Hong Kong Observatory confirm a daily maximum of exactly 30°C on June 6, 2026, anchoring the market-implied odds near 100% for that outcome. Recent downpours and associated cloud cover suppressed daytime heating amid the seasonal monsoon transition, preventing the typical June peak near 31–32°C observed in climatological averages. This aligns with broader early-summer patterns where convective activity and variable steering flows moderate extremes, though minor measurement variations at urban stations or slight forecast revisions could theoretically shift resolution if thresholds were narrowly missed. Traders’ consensus reflects confidence in these verified observations over model projections.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 6 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$278,204終了日
2026/06/06マーケット開始日
Jun 5, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Official temperature records from the Hong Kong Observatory confirm a daily maximum of exactly 30°C on June 6, 2026, anchoring the market-implied odds near 100% for that outcome. Recent downpours and associated cloud cover suppressed daytime heating amid the seasonal monsoon transition, preventing the typical June peak near 31–32°C observed in climatological averages. This aligns with broader early-summer patterns where convective activity and variable steering flows moderate extremes, though minor measurement variations at urban stations or slight forecast revisions could theoretically shift resolution if thresholds were narrowly missed. Traders’ consensus reflects confidence in these verified observations over model projections.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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