Official National Weather Service observations at Houston's William P. Hobby Airport (KHOU)—the market's designated resolution source—recorded a maximum temperature of 68°F on April 21, 2026, driving the 100% market-implied probability for the 68-69°F outcome. Persistent cloud cover, light rain totaling 0.2 inches, and fog from an active stormy weather pattern ushered in cooler air masses, capping highs 12°F below the climatological April average of 80°F. This aligns with NOAA forecast models anticipating suppressed temperatures amid upper-level troughing and Gulf moisture influx. While final data revisions are rare post-validation, discrepancies between stations like IAH or microscale urban heat effects could theoretically prompt review, though trader consensus deems this outcome certain.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Houston on April 21?
68-69°F 100.0%
53°F or below <1%
54-55°F <1%
56-57°F <1%
$58,156 Vol.
$58,156 Vol.
53°F or below
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
Yes
70-71°F
No
72°F or higher
No
68-69°F 100.0%
53°F or below <1%
54-55°F <1%
56-57°F <1%
$58,156 Vol.
$58,156 Vol.
53°F or below
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
Yes
70-71°F
No
72°F or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Apr 19, 2026, 12:13 AM ET
提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Official National Weather Service observations at Houston's William P. Hobby Airport (KHOU)—the market's designated resolution source—recorded a maximum temperature of 68°F on April 21, 2026, driving the 100% market-implied probability for the 68-69°F outcome. Persistent cloud cover, light rain totaling 0.2 inches, and fog from an active stormy weather pattern ushered in cooler air masses, capping highs 12°F below the climatological April average of 80°F. This aligns with NOAA forecast models anticipating suppressed temperatures amid upper-level troughing and Gulf moisture influx. While final data revisions are rare post-validation, discrepancies between stations like IAH or microscale urban heat effects could theoretically prompt review, though trader consensus deems this outcome certain.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日



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