Latest NOAA Weather Prediction Center and NWS Houston/Galveston forecasts peg the March 26 high temperature around 83-85°F, fueling trader consensus with 84-85°F leading at 31% amid a strengthening subtropical ridge over Texas promoting subsidence warming and southerly winds from the Gulf advecting moist, mild air. Closely trailing 82-83°F (23%) and 80-81°F (18.5%) reflect model divergences: GFS ensembles average 84°F with hotter outliers to 87°F from deeper mixing, while ECMWF runs cooler due to enhanced sea-breeze penetration and mid-level clouds capping highs. Low precipitation odds (<10%) support upper-80s potential, but diurnal timing and coastal effects introduce 2-3°F uncertainty differentiating bins.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Houston on March 26?
Highest temperature in Houston on March 26?
84-85°F 30%
82-83°F 28%
80-81°F 19%
86-87°F 12%
73°F or below
1%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
3%
78-79°F
7%
80-81°F
19%
82-83°F
28%
84-85°F
37%
86-87°F
12%
88-89°F
3%
90-91°F
3%
92°F or higher
3%
84-85°F 30%
82-83°F 28%
80-81°F 19%
86-87°F 12%
73°F or below
1%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
3%
78-79°F
7%
80-81°F
19%
82-83°F
28%
84-85°F
37%
86-87°F
12%
88-89°F
3%
90-91°F
3%
92°F or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Mar 22, 2026, 6:25 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest NOAA Weather Prediction Center and NWS Houston/Galveston forecasts peg the March 26 high temperature around 83-85°F, fueling trader consensus with 84-85°F leading at 31% amid a strengthening subtropical ridge over Texas promoting subsidence warming and southerly winds from the Gulf advecting moist, mild air. Closely trailing 82-83°F (23%) and 80-81°F (18.5%) reflect model divergences: GFS ensembles average 84°F with hotter outliers to 87°F from deeper mixing, while ECMWF runs cooler due to enhanced sea-breeze penetration and mid-level clouds capping highs. Low precipitation odds (<10%) support upper-80s potential, but diurnal timing and coastal effects introduce 2-3°F uncertainty differentiating bins.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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