Persistent summer heat across eastern China, reinforced by high-pressure dominance and typical mid-August climatology for Jinan, underpins the overwhelming 99.4% market-implied probability for a daily maximum of 26°C or higher on August 14. Official guidance from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and international models consensus project highs of 29–32°C, aligning with historical August averages near 30°C even amid scattered thundershowers. Forecast ensembles show limited variability from steering patterns or localized precipitation that might shave only a few degrees in outlier runs. A rapid, unmodeled influx of cooler northerly air or unusually heavy, sustained rainfall could theoretically challenge this outcome, though such shifts remain low-probability given current atmospheric conditions and the short time to resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月14日の済南の最高気温は?
26°C or higher 99.4%
24°C <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
99%
26°C or higher 99.4%
24°C <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
99%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 13, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Persistent summer heat across eastern China, reinforced by high-pressure dominance and typical mid-August climatology for Jinan, underpins the overwhelming 99.4% market-implied probability for a daily maximum of 26°C or higher on August 14. Official guidance from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and international models consensus project highs of 29–32°C, aligning with historical August averages near 30°C even amid scattered thundershowers. Forecast ensembles show limited variability from steering patterns or localized precipitation that might shave only a few degrees in outlier runs. A rapid, unmodeled influx of cooler northerly air or unusually heavy, sustained rainfall could theoretically challenge this outcome, though such shifts remain low-probability given current atmospheric conditions and the short time to resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日


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