India Meteorological Department observations confirm Lucknow's maximum temperature reached 33.9°C on May 9, 2026—a departure of -5.8°C below seasonal norms—driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 35°C or below, as this aligns precisely with the market's lowest outcome bin. Recent above-normal rainfall across Uttar Pradesh in early May, including the second-coolest May day in 57 years on May 5 at 28°C, has introduced persistent cloud cover and cooler air masses, suppressing typical pre-monsoon heat that often exceeds 40°C. Forecast models from IMD anticipated this cap at around 35°C, with dry conditions persisting but no intensification signals. Realistic challenges would require a late-day measurement revision upward by official stations or unverified airport data discrepancies, though historical resolution precedents favor observed city-center readings. Final IMD bulletin expected soon will lock in resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Lucknow on May 9?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on May 9?
35°C or below 100.0%
36°C <1%
37°C <1%
38°C <1%
$32,994 Vol.
$32,994 Vol.
2026/05/09
35°C or below
Yes
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C
No
42°C
No
43°C
No
44°C
No
45°C or higher
No
35°C or below 100.0%
36°C <1%
37°C <1%
38°C <1%
$32,994 Vol.
$32,994 Vol.
2026/05/09
35°C or below
$5,656 Vol.
Yes
36°C
$4,124 Vol.
No
37°C
$3,108 Vol.
No
38°C
$2,276 Vol.
No
39°C
$2,901 Vol.
No
40°C
$1,391 Vol.
No
41°C
$1,931 Vol.
No
42°C
$1,632 Vol.
No
43°C
$3,001 Vol.
No
44°C
$3,543 Vol.
No
45°C or higher
$3,430 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.India Meteorological Department observations confirm Lucknow's maximum temperature reached 33.9°C on May 9, 2026—a departure of -5.8°C below seasonal norms—driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 35°C or below, as this aligns precisely with the market's lowest outcome bin. Recent above-normal rainfall across Uttar Pradesh in early May, including the second-coolest May day in 57 years on May 5 at 28°C, has introduced persistent cloud cover and cooler air masses, suppressing typical pre-monsoon heat that often exceeds 40°C. Forecast models from IMD anticipated this cap at around 35°C, with dry conditions persisting but no intensification signals. Realistic challenges would require a late-day measurement revision upward by official stations or unverified airport data discrepancies, though historical resolution precedents favor observed city-center readings. Final IMD bulletin expected soon will lock in resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： May 7, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
音量
$32,994終了日
2026/05/09マーケット開始日
May 7, 2026, 12:12 AM ET提案された結果: Yes
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.India Meteorological Department observations confirm Lucknow's maximum temperature reached 33.9°C on May 9, 2026—a departure of -5.8°C below seasonal norms—driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 35°C or below, as this aligns precisely with the market's lowest outcome bin. Recent above-normal rainfall across Uttar Pradesh in early May, including the second-coolest May day in 57 years on May 5 at 28°C, has introduced persistent cloud cover and cooler air masses, suppressing typical pre-monsoon heat that often exceeds 40°C. Forecast models from IMD anticipated this cap at around 35°C, with dry conditions persisting but no intensification signals. Realistic challenges would require a late-day measurement revision upward by official stations or unverified airport data discrepancies, though historical resolution precedents favor observed city-center readings. Final IMD bulletin expected soon will lock in resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$32,994終了日
2026/05/09マーケット開始日
May 7, 2026, 12:12 AM ET提案された結果: Yes
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: Yes
India Meteorological Department observations confirm Lucknow's maximum temperature reached 33.9°C on May 9, 2026—a departure of -5.8°C below seasonal norms—driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 35°C or below, as this aligns precisely with the market's lowest outcome bin. Recent above-normal rainfall across Uttar Pradesh in early May, including the second-coolest May day in 57 years on May 5 at 28°C, has introduced persistent cloud cover and cooler air masses, suppressing typical pre-monsoon heat that often exceeds 40°C. Forecast models from IMD anticipated this cap at around 35°C, with dry conditions persisting but no intensification signals. Realistic challenges would require a late-day measurement revision upward by official stations or unverified airport data discrepancies, though historical resolution precedents favor observed city-center readings. Final IMD bulletin expected soon will lock in resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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