Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 28°C as the highest temperature in Madrid on April 18 at 100% implied probability, backed by official AEMET observational data from key stations: Madrid Aeropuerto peaked at 28.2°C around 18:00, Ciudad Universitaria at 28°C by 18:30, and Retiro at 27.7°C at 16:00. This aligns with pre-event forecasts from AEMET and models anticipating highs near 27-28°C under persistent high-pressure systems and clear skies, delivering above-normal spring warmth atypical for mid-April averages of 18-20°C. Realistic challenges would require post hoc data revisions uncovering a higher reading from a qualifying station before resolution, though final daily summaries rarely shift after midnight updates.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Madrid on April 18?
Highest temperature in Madrid on April 18?
28°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$115,158 Vol.
$115,158 Vol.
2026/04/18
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
28°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$115,158 Vol.
$115,158 Vol.
2026/04/18
22°C or below
$7,529 Vol.
No
23°C
$3,067 Vol.
No
24°C
$3,101 Vol.
No
25°C
$7,473 Vol.
No
26°C
$31,077 Vol.
No
27°C
$17,237 Vol.
No
28°C
$20,634 Vol.
Yes
29°C
$12,599 Vol.
No
30°C
$5,310 Vol.
No
31°C
$3,513 Vol.
No
32°C or higher
$3,618 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 28°C as the highest temperature in Madrid on April 18 at 100% implied probability, backed by official AEMET observational data from key stations: Madrid Aeropuerto peaked at 28.2°C around 18:00, Ciudad Universitaria at 28°C by 18:30, and Retiro at 27.7°C at 16:00. This aligns with pre-event forecasts from AEMET and models anticipating highs near 27-28°C under persistent high-pressure systems and clear skies, delivering above-normal spring warmth atypical for mid-April averages of 18-20°C. Realistic challenges would require post hoc data revisions uncovering a higher reading from a qualifying station before resolution, though final daily summaries rarely shift after midnight updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 16, 2026, 1:16 AM ET
音量
$115,158終了日
2026/04/18マーケット開始日
Apr 16, 2026, 1:16 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 28°C as the highest temperature in Madrid on April 18 at 100% implied probability, backed by official AEMET observational data from key stations: Madrid Aeropuerto peaked at 28.2°C around 18:00, Ciudad Universitaria at 28°C by 18:30, and Retiro at 27.7°C at 16:00. This aligns with pre-event forecasts from AEMET and models anticipating highs near 27-28°C under persistent high-pressure systems and clear skies, delivering above-normal spring warmth atypical for mid-April averages of 18-20°C. Realistic challenges would require post hoc data revisions uncovering a higher reading from a qualifying station before resolution, though final daily summaries rarely shift after midnight updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$115,158終了日
2026/04/18マーケット開始日
Apr 16, 2026, 1:16 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 28°C as the highest temperature in Madrid on April 18 at 100% implied probability, backed by official AEMET observational data from key stations: Madrid Aeropuerto peaked at 28.2°C around 18:00, Ciudad Universitaria at 28°C by 18:30, and Retiro at 27.7°C at 16:00. This aligns with pre-event forecasts from AEMET and models anticipating highs near 27-28°C under persistent high-pressure systems and clear skies, delivering above-normal spring warmth atypical for mid-April averages of 18-20°C. Realistic challenges would require post hoc data revisions uncovering a higher reading from a qualifying station before resolution, though final daily summaries rarely shift after midnight updates.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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外部リンクに注意してください。
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