Current meteorological forecasts from Spain’s AEMET and major international models show strong consensus for a daytime maximum of 31°C in Madrid on June 2 under stable high-pressure conditions, minimal cloud cover, and light winds typical of early summer in central Spain. This positions 31°C as the near-certain outcome in the market, consistent with observed trends where actual highs have aligned closely with ensemble predictions in recent days. Historical June averages near 28–29°C provide context, yet today’s specific synoptic pattern supports the higher value. Only an unexpected late shift in steering flow, increased afternoon convection, or measurement-site anomaly could realistically alter the recorded high.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Madrid on June 2?
31°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$95,094 Vol.
$95,094 Vol.
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
Yes
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
31°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$95,094 Vol.
$95,094 Vol.
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
Yes
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: May 31, 2026, 12:16 AM ET
提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Current meteorological forecasts from Spain’s AEMET and major international models show strong consensus for a daytime maximum of 31°C in Madrid on June 2 under stable high-pressure conditions, minimal cloud cover, and light winds typical of early summer in central Spain. This positions 31°C as the near-certain outcome in the market, consistent with observed trends where actual highs have aligned closely with ensemble predictions in recent days. Historical June averages near 28–29°C provide context, yet today’s specific synoptic pattern supports the higher value. Only an unexpected late shift in steering flow, increased afternoon convection, or measurement-site anomaly could realistically alter the recorded high.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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