The market's near-certain 32°C outcome reflects the official PAGASA forecast for Metro Manila on June 4, projecting a daily maximum of 32°C under partly cloudy conditions with a 60% rain chance during the early southwest monsoon. This aligns with climatological baselines for early June, when average highs reach 31–33°C amid high humidity and typical convective activity. Official station data from Ninoy Aquino International Airport, used for resolution, has shown consistent readings near this threshold in recent days. Strong consensus arises from stable atmospheric patterns, including moderate southwest flow and limited tropical disturbance influence. Only an unforecasted surge in afternoon thunderstorms or thicker cloud cover suppressing solar heating could realistically lower the high below 32°C, though current model runs indicate low probability of such deviation.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Manila on June 4?
Highest temperature in Manila on June 4?
32°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$34,971 Vol.
$34,971 Vol.
2026/06/04
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
32°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$34,971 Vol.
$34,971 Vol.
2026/06/04
26°C or below
$203 Vol.
No
27°C
$238 Vol.
No
28°C
$737 Vol.
No
29°C
$1,518 Vol.
No
30°C
$4,513 Vol.
No
31°C
$2,542 Vol.
No
32°C
$4,842 Vol.
Yes
33°C
$6,669 Vol.
No
34°C
$6,382 Vol.
No
35°C
$5,385 Vol.
No
36°C or higher
$1,942 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market's near-certain 32°C outcome reflects the official PAGASA forecast for Metro Manila on June 4, projecting a daily maximum of 32°C under partly cloudy conditions with a 60% rain chance during the early southwest monsoon. This aligns with climatological baselines for early June, when average highs reach 31–33°C amid high humidity and typical convective activity. Official station data from Ninoy Aquino International Airport, used for resolution, has shown consistent readings near this threshold in recent days. Strong consensus arises from stable atmospheric patterns, including moderate southwest flow and limited tropical disturbance influence. Only an unforecasted surge in afternoon thunderstorms or thicker cloud cover suppressing solar heating could realistically lower the high below 32°C, though current model runs indicate low probability of such deviation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Jun 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
音量
$34,971終了日
2026/06/04マーケット開始日
Jun 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market's near-certain 32°C outcome reflects the official PAGASA forecast for Metro Manila on June 4, projecting a daily maximum of 32°C under partly cloudy conditions with a 60% rain chance during the early southwest monsoon. This aligns with climatological baselines for early June, when average highs reach 31–33°C amid high humidity and typical convective activity. Official station data from Ninoy Aquino International Airport, used for resolution, has shown consistent readings near this threshold in recent days. Strong consensus arises from stable atmospheric patterns, including moderate southwest flow and limited tropical disturbance influence. Only an unforecasted surge in afternoon thunderstorms or thicker cloud cover suppressing solar heating could realistically lower the high below 32°C, though current model runs indicate low probability of such deviation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$34,971終了日
2026/06/04マーケット開始日
Jun 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
The market's near-certain 32°C outcome reflects the official PAGASA forecast for Metro Manila on June 4, projecting a daily maximum of 32°C under partly cloudy conditions with a 60% rain chance during the early southwest monsoon. This aligns with climatological baselines for early June, when average highs reach 31–33°C amid high humidity and typical convective activity. Official station data from Ninoy Aquino International Airport, used for resolution, has shown consistent readings near this threshold in recent days. Strong consensus arises from stable atmospheric patterns, including moderate southwest flow and limited tropical disturbance influence. Only an unforecasted surge in afternoon thunderstorms or thicker cloud cover suppressing solar heating could realistically lower the high below 32°C, though current model runs indicate low probability of such deviation.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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外部リンクに注意してください。
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