Latest guidance from NOAA's Global Forecast System (GFS) and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) ensembles points to Miami's highest temperature on March 23 clustering around 82-85°F, driving trader consensus with 84-85°F at 25.5% and 82-83°F at 24.5%. These closely matched leading outcomes hinge on a persistent upper-level ridge fostering sunny skies and limited sea breeze moderation, tempered by slightly cooler Atlantic sea surface temperatures near 78°F. Differentiating factors include potential afternoon cumulus clouds capping peaks below 84°F versus clearer conditions allowing 85°F, against March historical averages of 79-80°F; National Weather Service point forecasts hover at 82°F, with final model runs expected by March 22 influencing shifts. Uncertainty persists from diurnal variations and convective potential.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日3月23日のマイアミの最高気温は?
3月23日のマイアミの最高気温は?
84〜85°F 26%
82〜83°F 25%
80〜81°F 21%
86~87°F 17.0%
華氏71度以下
1%
72~73°F
6%
74〜75°F
10%
76〜77°F
9%
78~79°F
13%
80〜81°F
21%
82〜83°F
25%
84〜85°F
26%
86~87°F
14%
88〜89°F
8%
90°F以上
4%
84〜85°F 26%
82〜83°F 25%
80〜81°F 21%
86~87°F 17.0%
華氏71度以下
1%
72~73°F
6%
74〜75°F
10%
76〜77°F
9%
78~79°F
13%
80〜81°F
21%
82〜83°F
25%
84〜85°F
26%
86~87°F
14%
88〜89°F
8%
90°F以上
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Mar 19, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest guidance from NOAA's Global Forecast System (GFS) and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) ensembles points to Miami's highest temperature on March 23 clustering around 82-85°F, driving trader consensus with 84-85°F at 25.5% and 82-83°F at 24.5%. These closely matched leading outcomes hinge on a persistent upper-level ridge fostering sunny skies and limited sea breeze moderation, tempered by slightly cooler Atlantic sea surface temperatures near 78°F. Differentiating factors include potential afternoon cumulus clouds capping peaks below 84°F versus clearer conditions allowing 85°F, against March historical averages of 79-80°F; National Weather Service point forecasts hover at 82°F, with final model runs expected by March 22 influencing shifts. Uncertainty persists from diurnal variations and convective potential.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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