National Weather Service observations at Miami International Airport (KMIA) confirm the highest temperature on May 5, 2026, reached 88°F around 11 a.m. local time, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for the 88-89°F outcome as automated surface observing system data finalized the daily maximum. This aligns with pre-event NWS forecasts projecting upper-80s highs under partly cloudy skies, light easterly winds, and moderate humidity typical for early May in South Florida, where climatological averages hover near 86°F. With the market now resolved on official records, realistic challenges are negligible—only a rare post-validation revision by NOAA climatologists could shift the outcome, a scenario with negligible historical precedent for settled daily peaks.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Miami on May 5?
Highest temperature in Miami on May 5?
88-89°F 100.0%
73°F or below <1%
74-75°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
$72,135 Vol.
$72,135 Vol.
2026/05/05
73°F or below
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
Yes
90-91°F
No
92°F or higher
No
88-89°F 100.0%
73°F or below <1%
74-75°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
$72,135 Vol.
$72,135 Vol.
2026/05/05
73°F or below
$968 Vol.
No
74-75°F
$1,149 Vol.
No
76-77°F
$1,448 Vol.
No
78-79°F
$4,377 Vol.
No
80-81°F
$7,492 Vol.
No
82-83°F
$5,861 Vol.
No
84-85°F
$8,889 Vol.
No
86-87°F
$8,373 Vol.
No
88-89°F
$13,098 Vol.
Yes
90-91°F
$11,076 Vol.
No
92°F or higher
$9,405 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service observations at Miami International Airport (KMIA) confirm the highest temperature on May 5, 2026, reached 88°F around 11 a.m. local time, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for the 88-89°F outcome as automated surface observing system data finalized the daily maximum. This aligns with pre-event NWS forecasts projecting upper-80s highs under partly cloudy skies, light easterly winds, and moderate humidity typical for early May in South Florida, where climatological averages hover near 86°F. With the market now resolved on official records, realistic challenges are negligible—only a rare post-validation revision by NOAA climatologists could shift the outcome, a scenario with negligible historical precedent for settled daily peaks.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： May 3, 2026, 12:34 AM ET
音量
$72,135終了日
2026/05/05マーケット開始日
May 3, 2026, 12:34 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service observations at Miami International Airport (KMIA) confirm the highest temperature on May 5, 2026, reached 88°F around 11 a.m. local time, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for the 88-89°F outcome as automated surface observing system data finalized the daily maximum. This aligns with pre-event NWS forecasts projecting upper-80s highs under partly cloudy skies, light easterly winds, and moderate humidity typical for early May in South Florida, where climatological averages hover near 86°F. With the market now resolved on official records, realistic challenges are negligible—only a rare post-validation revision by NOAA climatologists could shift the outcome, a scenario with negligible historical precedent for settled daily peaks.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$72,135終了日
2026/05/05マーケット開始日
May 3, 2026, 12:34 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
National Weather Service observations at Miami International Airport (KMIA) confirm the highest temperature on May 5, 2026, reached 88°F around 11 a.m. local time, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for the 88-89°F outcome as automated surface observing system data finalized the daily maximum. This aligns with pre-event NWS forecasts projecting upper-80s highs under partly cloudy skies, light easterly winds, and moderate humidity typical for early May in South Florida, where climatological averages hover near 86°F. With the market now resolved on official records, realistic challenges are negligible—only a rare post-validation revision by NOAA climatologists could shift the outcome, a scenario with negligible historical precedent for settled daily peaks.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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