Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs a 15°C high temperature in Moscow today, reflecting the latest forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center (Roshydromet), which predict cloudy skies and daytime highs of +10 to +15°C amid southwesterly winds. Ensemble model runs from Roshydromet and supporting international guidance like ECMWF align on limited solar insolation due to persistent overcast conditions, keeping readings below seasonal norms of around 17–19°C. Observations so far match this, with afternoon projections capping at 15°C. Realistic challenges include unexpected cloud breaks boosting surface heating or urban heat effects at Vnukovo Airport's official station, though model uncertainty remains low as the day progresses toward evening resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日5月2日のモスクワの最高気温は？
5月2日のモスクワの最高気温は？
15°C 100.0%
9°C以下 <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$79,966 Vol.
$79,966 Vol.
2026/05/02
9°C以下
いいえ
10°C
いいえ
11°C
いいえ
12℃
いいえ
13℃
いいえ
14℃
いいえ
15°C
はい
16℃
いいえ
17°C
いいえ
18°C
いいえ
19°C以上
いいえ
15°C 100.0%
9°C以下 <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$79,966 Vol.
$79,966 Vol.
2026/05/02
9°C以下
$7,683 Vol.
いいえ
10°C
$6,712 Vol.
いいえ
11°C
$3,466 Vol.
いいえ
12℃
$4,825 Vol.
いいえ
13℃
$7,109 Vol.
いいえ
14℃
$13,199 Vol.
いいえ
15°C
$10,241 Vol.
はい
16℃
$13,593 Vol.
いいえ
17°C
$5,241 Vol.
いいえ
18°C
$4,668 Vol.
いいえ
19°C以上
$3,228 Vol.
いいえ
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs a 15°C high temperature in Moscow today, reflecting the latest forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center (Roshydromet), which predict cloudy skies and daytime highs of +10 to +15°C amid southwesterly winds. Ensemble model runs from Roshydromet and supporting international guidance like ECMWF align on limited solar insolation due to persistent overcast conditions, keeping readings below seasonal norms of around 17–19°C. Observations so far match this, with afternoon projections capping at 15°C. Realistic challenges include unexpected cloud breaks boosting surface heating or urban heat effects at Vnukovo Airport's official station, though model uncertainty remains low as the day progresses toward evening resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
音量
$79,966終了日
2026/05/02マーケット開始日
Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs a 15°C high temperature in Moscow today, reflecting the latest forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center (Roshydromet), which predict cloudy skies and daytime highs of +10 to +15°C amid southwesterly winds. Ensemble model runs from Roshydromet and supporting international guidance like ECMWF align on limited solar insolation due to persistent overcast conditions, keeping readings below seasonal norms of around 17–19°C. Observations so far match this, with afternoon projections capping at 15°C. Realistic challenges include unexpected cloud breaks boosting surface heating or urban heat effects at Vnukovo Airport's official station, though model uncertainty remains low as the day progresses toward evening resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$79,966終了日
2026/05/02マーケット開始日
Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs a 15°C high temperature in Moscow today, reflecting the latest forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center (Roshydromet), which predict cloudy skies and daytime highs of +10 to +15°C amid southwesterly winds. Ensemble model runs from Roshydromet and supporting international guidance like ECMWF align on limited solar insolation due to persistent overcast conditions, keeping readings below seasonal norms of around 17–19°C. Observations so far match this, with afternoon projections capping at 15°C. Realistic challenges include unexpected cloud breaks boosting surface heating or urban heat effects at Vnukovo Airport's official station, though model uncertainty remains low as the day progresses toward evening resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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