Trader consensus clusters around 9–12°C for Paris's highest temperature on March 28, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts converging on a mean maximum near 11°C amid a shortwave trough ushering cool northerly winds. Recent model runs indicate a slight downward shift from prior warmer outlooks, as increased cloud cover and Atlantic moisture suppress daytime heating, per Météo-France guidance. Differentiating factors include ensemble spread: drier scenarios favor 12°C via greater insolation, while persistent overcast or late-afternoon showers tilt toward 9–10°C. Historical March 28 averages hover at 12°C, but this setup's cyclonic flow heightens uncertainty in the final 24 hours.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Paris on March 28?
Highest temperature in Paris on March 28?
11°C 22%
12°C 20%
10°C 19%
9°C 16%
7°C or below
1%
8°C
10%
9°C
16%
10°C
19%
11°C
22%
12°C
20%
13°C
14%
14°C
10%
15°C
8%
16°C
4%
17°C or higher
2%
11°C 22%
12°C 20%
10°C 19%
9°C 16%
7°C or below
1%
8°C
10%
9°C
16%
10°C
19%
11°C
22%
12°C
20%
13°C
14%
14°C
10%
15°C
8%
16°C
4%
17°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Mar 24, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus clusters around 9–12°C for Paris's highest temperature on March 28, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts converging on a mean maximum near 11°C amid a shortwave trough ushering cool northerly winds. Recent model runs indicate a slight downward shift from prior warmer outlooks, as increased cloud cover and Atlantic moisture suppress daytime heating, per Météo-France guidance. Differentiating factors include ensemble spread: drier scenarios favor 12°C via greater insolation, while persistent overcast or late-afternoon showers tilt toward 9–10°C. Historical March 28 averages hover at 12°C, but this setup's cyclonic flow heightens uncertainty in the final 24 hours.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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