Current meteorological forecasts and seasonal climatology strongly support trader consensus that San Francisco's high on May 24 will reach or exceed 64°F. Late-May averages hover near 67°F, with National Weather Service guidance projecting daytime peaks of 60–68°F under typical marine layer conditions and moderate onshore flow. Model consensus shows limited cooling potential, as no significant cold advection or persistent fog is anticipated. While extreme anomalies such as an unusually strong marine intrusion or rapid pressure shift could theoretically suppress readings below the threshold, historical data and real-time observations indicate such outcomes remain highly improbable on this date. Official station measurements will resolve the market.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in San Francisco on May 24?
64°F or higher 100.0%
45°F or below <1%
46-47°F <1%
48-49°F <1%
$24,737 Vol.
$24,737 Vol.
45°F or below
No
46-47°F
No
48-49°F
No
50-51°F
No
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64°F or higher
Yes
64°F or higher 100.0%
45°F or below <1%
46-47°F <1%
48-49°F <1%
$24,737 Vol.
$24,737 Vol.
45°F or below
No
46-47°F
No
48-49°F
No
50-51°F
No
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64°F or higher
Yes
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: May 22, 2026, 12:43 AM ET
提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Current meteorological forecasts and seasonal climatology strongly support trader consensus that San Francisco's high on May 24 will reach or exceed 64°F. Late-May averages hover near 67°F, with National Weather Service guidance projecting daytime peaks of 60–68°F under typical marine layer conditions and moderate onshore flow. Model consensus shows limited cooling potential, as no significant cold advection or persistent fog is anticipated. While extreme anomalies such as an unusually strong marine intrusion or rapid pressure shift could theoretically suppress readings below the threshold, historical data and real-time observations indicate such outcomes remain highly improbable on this date. Official station measurements will resolve the market.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日



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