Official observational data from the São Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport weather station (SBGR)—the market's designated resolution source via Wunderground—recorded a maximum temperature of 27°C on May 4, 2026, driving trader consensus to 100% on this outcome with real capital at stake. This measurement, taken to the nearest whole degree Celsius, overrides pre-event INMET forecasts of cloudy conditions and isolated rain capping highs near 23°C amid autumnal cooling patterns typical for the region, where May averages hover around 23–24°C based on historical climatology. Scenarios challenging this near-certainty include rare post-finalization data revisions from the station, though none are anticipated as observations are finalized daily by 15h Brasília time.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on May 4?
27°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$164,267 Vol.
$164,267 Vol.
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Yes
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
No
27°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$164,267 Vol.
$164,267 Vol.
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Yes
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: May 2, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Official observational data from the São Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport weather station (SBGR)—the market's designated resolution source via Wunderground—recorded a maximum temperature of 27°C on May 4, 2026, driving trader consensus to 100% on this outcome with real capital at stake. This measurement, taken to the nearest whole degree Celsius, overrides pre-event INMET forecasts of cloudy conditions and isolated rain capping highs near 23°C amid autumnal cooling patterns typical for the region, where May averages hover around 23–24°C based on historical climatology. Scenarios challenging this near-certainty include rare post-finalization data revisions from the station, though none are anticipated as observations are finalized daily by 15h Brasília time.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日



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