Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a high of 50°F or higher in Seattle on April 18, reflecting strong alignment across National Weather Service (NWS) and NOAA forecast models showing midday highs in the mid-50s°F under a persistent high-pressure ridge over the Pacific Northwest. Recent guidance from the April 14 Area Forecast Discussion highlights light southerly winds and reduced marine layer influence, promoting above-normal temperatures—Seattle's April climatological average high is around 57°F—following variable spring conditions with no disruptive cold fronts in the past week. Ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF exhibit high agreement, with minimal spread. Realistic challenges include an unforeseen surge of cool, moist Puget Sound air or a stalled frontal boundary, though current synoptic patterns make sub-50°F unlikely; watch NWS updates on April 17 for refinements ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Seattle on April 18?
Highest temperature in Seattle on April 18?
50°F or higher 98.8%
34-35°F <1%
46-47°F <1%
31°F or below <1%
新規
新規
2026/04/18
31°F or below
<1%
32-33°F
<1%
34-35°F
1%
36-37°F
<1%
38-39°F
<1%
40-41°F
<1%
42-43°F
<1%
44-45°F
<1%
46-47°F
<1%
48-49°F
<1%
50°F or higher
99%
50°F or higher 98.8%
34-35°F <1%
46-47°F <1%
31°F or below <1%
新規
新規
2026/04/18
31°F or below
$359 Vol.
<1%
32-33°F
$344 Vol.
<1%
34-35°F
$354 Vol.
1%
36-37°F
$412 Vol.
<1%
38-39°F
$357 Vol.
<1%
40-41°F
$357 Vol.
<1%
42-43°F
$380 Vol.
<1%
44-45°F
$342 Vol.
<1%
46-47°F
$352 Vol.
<1%
48-49°F
$502 Vol.
<1%
50°F or higher
$4,565 Vol.
99%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a high of 50°F or higher in Seattle on April 18, reflecting strong alignment across National Weather Service (NWS) and NOAA forecast models showing midday highs in the mid-50s°F under a persistent high-pressure ridge over the Pacific Northwest. Recent guidance from the April 14 Area Forecast Discussion highlights light southerly winds and reduced marine layer influence, promoting above-normal temperatures—Seattle's April climatological average high is around 57°F—following variable spring conditions with no disruptive cold fronts in the past week. Ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF exhibit high agreement, with minimal spread. Realistic challenges include an unforeseen surge of cool, moist Puget Sound air or a stalled frontal boundary, though current synoptic patterns make sub-50°F unlikely; watch NWS updates on April 17 for refinements ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 16, 2026, 12:40 AM ET
音量
$8,322終了日
2026/04/18マーケット開始日
Apr 16, 2026, 12:40 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a high of 50°F or higher in Seattle on April 18, reflecting strong alignment across National Weather Service (NWS) and NOAA forecast models showing midday highs in the mid-50s°F under a persistent high-pressure ridge over the Pacific Northwest. Recent guidance from the April 14 Area Forecast Discussion highlights light southerly winds and reduced marine layer influence, promoting above-normal temperatures—Seattle's April climatological average high is around 57°F—following variable spring conditions with no disruptive cold fronts in the past week. Ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF exhibit high agreement, with minimal spread. Realistic challenges include an unforeseen surge of cool, moist Puget Sound air or a stalled frontal boundary, though current synoptic patterns make sub-50°F unlikely; watch NWS updates on April 17 for refinements ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$8,322終了日
2026/04/18マーケット開始日
Apr 16, 2026, 12:40 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a high of 50°F or higher in Seattle on April 18, reflecting strong alignment across National Weather Service (NWS) and NOAA forecast models showing midday highs in the mid-50s°F under a persistent high-pressure ridge over the Pacific Northwest. Recent guidance from the April 14 Area Forecast Discussion highlights light southerly winds and reduced marine layer influence, promoting above-normal temperatures—Seattle's April climatological average high is around 57°F—following variable spring conditions with no disruptive cold fronts in the past week. Ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF exhibit high agreement, with minimal spread. Realistic challenges include an unforeseen surge of cool, moist Puget Sound air or a stalled frontal boundary, though current synoptic patterns make sub-50°F unlikely; watch NWS updates on April 17 for refinements ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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