Latest National Weather Service and NOAA model runs show Seattle under a building thermal trough with light onshore flow, driving trader consensus toward 84-85°F as the most likely daily high on June 22. Key variables include the strength and timing of any marine-layer intrusion, which could cap readings in the low 80s, versus clearer skies and downslope warming that favor the 86-87°F bin. Ensemble spread remains notable at this lead time, reflected in the broad probability distribution across 80-89°F outcomes, while extremes below 78°F or above 90°F carry low implied odds given climatological baselines and current steering patterns. Updated model guidance and afternoon observations will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Seattle on June 22?
Highest temperature in Seattle on June 22?
84-85°F 100.0%
75°F or below <1%
76-77°F <1%
78-79°F <1%
$56,295 Vol.
$56,295 Vol.
2026/06/22
75°F or below
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
Yes
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
No
94°F or higher
No
84-85°F 100.0%
75°F or below <1%
76-77°F <1%
78-79°F <1%
$56,295 Vol.
$56,295 Vol.
2026/06/22
75°F or below
$923 Vol.
No
76-77°F
$1,650 Vol.
No
78-79°F
$3,939 Vol.
No
80-81°F
$5,630 Vol.
No
82-83°F
$6,836 Vol.
No
84-85°F
$15,880 Vol.
Yes
86-87°F
$9,187 Vol.
No
88-89°F
$7,399 Vol.
No
90-91°F
$2,187 Vol.
No
92-93°F
$2,280 Vol.
No
94°F or higher
$383 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and NOAA model runs show Seattle under a building thermal trough with light onshore flow, driving trader consensus toward 84-85°F as the most likely daily high on June 22. Key variables include the strength and timing of any marine-layer intrusion, which could cap readings in the low 80s, versus clearer skies and downslope warming that favor the 86-87°F bin. Ensemble spread remains notable at this lead time, reflected in the broad probability distribution across 80-89°F outcomes, while extremes below 78°F or above 90°F carry low implied odds given climatological baselines and current steering patterns. Updated model guidance and afternoon observations will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Jun 20, 2026, 9:06 PM ET
音量
$56,295終了日
2026/06/22マーケット開始日
Jun 20, 2026, 9:06 PM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and NOAA model runs show Seattle under a building thermal trough with light onshore flow, driving trader consensus toward 84-85°F as the most likely daily high on June 22. Key variables include the strength and timing of any marine-layer intrusion, which could cap readings in the low 80s, versus clearer skies and downslope warming that favor the 86-87°F bin. Ensemble spread remains notable at this lead time, reflected in the broad probability distribution across 80-89°F outcomes, while extremes below 78°F or above 90°F carry low implied odds given climatological baselines and current steering patterns. Updated model guidance and afternoon observations will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$56,295終了日
2026/06/22マーケット開始日
Jun 20, 2026, 9:06 PM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Latest National Weather Service and NOAA model runs show Seattle under a building thermal trough with light onshore flow, driving trader consensus toward 84-85°F as the most likely daily high on June 22. Key variables include the strength and timing of any marine-layer intrusion, which could cap readings in the low 80s, versus clearer skies and downslope warming that favor the 86-87°F bin. Ensemble spread remains notable at this lead time, reflected in the broad probability distribution across 80-89°F outcomes, while extremes below 78°F or above 90°F carry low implied odds given climatological baselines and current steering patterns. Updated model guidance and afternoon observations will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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